FNUS75 KBOU 141535 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GOOSE CREEK SAR...COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 935 AM MDT MON SEP 14 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE STATE WITH WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY TONIGHT. WEAK SURFACE LEE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ON THE NORTHEAST PLAINS. AIRMASS OVER MOUNTAINS SLIGHTLY MOIST AND BECOMING UNSTABLE IN THE AFTERNOON DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1400...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-74. MIN HUMIDITY........24-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN EAST AROUND 9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 7000-8000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1500...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0300...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200. MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-48. MAX HUMIDITY........66-74%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN WEST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-7200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 200-400 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-74. MIN HUMIDITY........26-34%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 6500-7500 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GOOSE CREEK SAR. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/14-09 2 0 56 46 W 5 5 2 1 SW12 779 W 5 3349 P 09/14-10 16 0 61 38 W 3 1 2663 W 5 6780 P 09/14-11 16 0 64 35 N 2 1 4546 NW 3 10210 P 09/14-12 41 10 66 31 NE 2 2 2 2 W 9 6430 NW 2 13640 P 09/14-13 41 10 68 30 NE 5 2 7010 N 3 23568 P 09/14-14 41 30 69 29 E 7 4 7589 E 5 33496 P 09/14-15 80 30 70 28 E 9 9 2 4 SW 7 8168 E 6 43423 F 09/14-16 80 30 69 28 E 9 4 7882 E 7 46260 F 09/14-17 80 30 68 30 E 9 4 7596 E 8 49097 F 09/14-18 82 30 68 30 E 8 8 2 4 SW 3 7310 E 8 51934 F 09/14-19 82 30 64 35 SE 8 4 6068 SE 8 42239 F 09/14-20 82 30 60 41 SW 8 4 4825 S 8 32544 P 09/14-21 81 30 58 44 W 8 8 2 4 SE12 3583 S 7 22849 P 09/14-22 81 0 52 55 W 8 1 2533 SW 9 16686 P 09/14-23 81 0 51 58 W 9 1 1483 SW 10 10522 P 09/15-00 63 0 50 61 W 9 9 2 1 SE13 432 SW 12 4359 P 09/15-01 63 0 49 63 W 8 1 369 W 10 3373 P 09/15-02 63 0 48 65 W 7 1 307 W 8 2386 P 09/15-03 42 0 47 66 W 6 6 2 1 S15 244 W 7 1400 P 09/15-04 42 0 46 67 W 5 1 226 W 6 1123 P 09/15-05 42 0 46 68 W 5 1 208 W 5 847 P 09/15-06 29 0 46 66 W 5 5 2 1 S10 190 W 3 570 P 09/15-07 29 0 48 61 W 3 1 1356 NW 3 3896 P 09/15-08 29 0 52 52 N 2 1 2521 NE 3 7222 P 09/15-09 29 0 56 44 N 2 2 2 1 S10 3687 E 3 10548 P 09/15-10 29 0 60 38 NE 3 1 5006 E 5 20025 P 09/15-11 29 0 64 34 NE 6 1 6325 SE 5 29502 P 09/15-12 69 0 67 31 E 7 7 2 1 S 9 7645 SE 6 38978 P 09/15-13 69 30 68 30 E 7 4 7654 SE 7 42290 F 09/15-14 69 30 68 30 E 7 4 7662 SE 7 45602 F 09/15-15 75 30 67 31 E 7 7 2 4 S 8 7671 SE 7 48913 F 09/15-16 75 30 66 33 E 7 4 6870 SE 9 49809 F 09/15-17 75 30 64 36 E 7 4 6068 SE 10 50705 F 09/15-18 78 30 62 40 E 7 7 2 4 SE10 5267 E 12 51601 F 09/15-19 78 30 59 43 NE 6 4 3723 E 10 35675 P 09/15-20 78 30 55 49 NE 3 4 2180 E 8 19749 P 09/15-21 71 30 52 55 N 2 2 2 4 SE13 637 E 7 3823 P 09/15-22 71 30 50 59 CALM 4 510 E 6 2696 P 09/15-23 71 30 48 62 CALM 4 383 SE 3 1569 P 09/16-00 59 10 47 65 CALM 1 2 1 SE14 256 SE 2 442 P 09/16-01 59 10 46 68 W 2 1 241 S 2 489 P 09/16-02 59 10 45 70 W 3 1 227 SW 2 536 P 09/16-03 59 10 44 72 W 5 5 2 1 SE14 213 W 3 583 P 09/16-04 59 10 43 74 W 5 1 204 W 3 615 P 09/16-05 59 10 42 76 W 5 1 195 NW 3 647 P 09/16-06 59 10 43 75 NW 5 5 2 1 E17 186 N 5 678 P 09/16-07 59 10 45 68 NW 6 1 1613 N 8 18921 P 09/16-08 59 10 49 57 N 8 1 3041 NE 10 37163 P 09/16-09 59 10 54 47 NE 9 9 2 1 E23 4469 NE 14 55405 F 09/16-10 59 10 58 40 NE 10 1 5598 NE 15 73451 G 09/16-11 59 10 62 35 NE 10 1 6728 E 15 91496 G 09/16-12 79 30 64 32 NE 10 10 2 4 E23 7858 E 16 109541 V 09/16-13 79 30 66 31 NE 12 4 8007 E 16 111380 V 09/16-14 79 30 66 32 NE 12 4 8156 E 16 113218 V 09/16-15 79 30 66 33 E 13 13 2 4 E17 8305 E 16 115056 V 09/16-16 79 30 65 36 E 14 4 7565 E 15 101520 V 09/16-17 79 30 63 40 E 14 4 6825 E 15 87984 G 09/16-18 79 30 61 44 E 13 13 2 4 E15 6085 E 14 74448 G 09/16-19 79 30 58 49 E 10 4 4730 E 13 55545 F 09/16-20 79 30 54 56 NE 7 4 3375 E 12 36641 P 09/16-21 79 30 51 61 NE 5 5 2 4 E20 2021 E 10 17738 P 09/16-22 79 30 49 65 NE 3 4 1517 E 8 12340 P 09/16-23 79 30 48 66 E 2 4 1013 E 6 6941 P 09/17-00 51 0 47 67 E 2 2 2 1 E24 509 E 3 1543 P 09/17-01 51 0 46 68 NE 2 1 474 E 2 1152 P 09/17-02 51 0 45 68 NW 2 1 439 N 2 762 P 09/17-03 51 0 44 67 W 2 2 2 1 E20 404 CALM 372 P 09/17-04 51 0 44 68 W 2 1 391 N 2 630 P 09/17-05 51 0 43 68 W 3 1 377 N 2 888 P 09/17-06 51 0 43 65 W 3 3 2 1 E18 364 N 3 1145 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ROCCO SNART REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20090914.GOOSE.01/BOU