FNUS75 KBOU 141805 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH INLET PROJECT...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1205 PM MDT MON SEP 14 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE STATE WITH LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY TONIGHT. WEAK SURFACE LEE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ON THE NORTHEAST PLAINS. AIRMASS OVER MOUNTAINS IS SLIGHTLY MOIST AND WILL BECOME UNSTABLE IN THE AFTERNOON DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1400...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-56. MIN HUMIDITY........44-52%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-6000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0300...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0300. MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-38. MAX HUMIDITY........70-80%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 500-1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1000...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300. MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-58. MIN HUMIDITY........46-54%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 8-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 4500-5500 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300. FAIR AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR NORTH INLET PROJECT. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/14-11 15 0 47 47 W 7 1 4607 W 8 27739 P 09/14-12 61 10 49 46 W 5 5 3 2 SW17 5948 W 6 31501 P 09/14-13 61 10 49 46 W 2 2 6041 W 5 25706 P 09/14-14 61 30 50 46 CALM 4 6133 W 3 19911 P 09/14-15 85 30 50 46 CALM 1 3 4 SW18 6225 SW 2 14115 P 09/14-16 85 30 50 47 S 2 4 5347 SW 3 13182 P 09/14-17 85 30 49 49 S 3 4 4470 SW 3 12249 P 09/14-18 88 30 49 49 SW 5 5 4 4 W10 3592 SW 3 11316 P 09/14-19 88 30 47 53 S 5 4 2977 S 3 9141 P 09/14-20 88 30 45 56 E 3 4 2363 E 3 6965 P 09/14-21 85 30 44 57 NE 3 3 3 4 SW 2 1749 NE 3 4789 P 09/14-22 85 20 42 60 E 3 1 1490 N 3 4521 P 09/14-23 85 20 41 62 SE 3 1 1232 W 5 4252 P 09/15-00 60 20 40 63 S 5 5 3 1 SE15 973 SW 5 3984 P 09/15-01 60 20 40 65 S 6 1 795 SW 3 2977 P 09/15-02 60 20 39 66 SE 6 1 617 SW 3 1971 P 09/15-03 52 0 39 67 SE 7 7 3 1 S26 439 SW 2 965 P 09/15-04 52 0 38 69 SE 7 1 387 S 3 940 P 09/15-05 52 0 38 70 SE 7 1 334 SE 3 916 P 09/15-06 45 0 38 71 E 7 7 3 1 S18 282 SE 3 891 P 09/15-07 45 0 39 69 E 6 1 537 SE 5 2302 P 09/15-08 45 0 40 67 E 6 1 792 SE 5 3712 P 09/15-09 76 0 41 63 E 6 6 3 1 S13 1047 E 6 5123 P 09/15-10 76 0 43 59 E 7 1 2138 E 7 14768 P 09/15-11 76 0 46 54 E 7 1 3229 SE 8 24414 P 09/15-12 55 0 47 51 E 8 8 4 1 S12 4320 SE 9 34060 P 09/15-13 55 40 48 51 E 8 4 4631 SE 10 41211 F 09/15-14 55 40 49 53 SE 8 4 4942 SE 12 48361 F 09/15-15 77 40 49 55 SE 8 8 4 4 SE13 5253 SE 13 55512 F 09/15-16 77 40 48 58 SE 9 4 4592 SE 13 48973 F 09/15-17 77 40 47 61 E 9 4 3931 E 13 42435 F 09/15-18 79 40 47 65 E 10 10 4 4 SE15 3271 E 13 35897 P 09/15-19 79 40 46 66 E 10 4 2716 E 13 29390 P 09/15-20 79 40 44 69 E 10 4 2162 E 12 22884 P 09/15-21 83 40 42 71 E 10 10 3 4 SE18 1608 E 12 16377 P 09/15-22 83 40 41 72 E 10 4 1328 E 12 13220 P 09/15-23 83 40 40 73 E 10 4 1049 E 10 10063 P 09/16-00 70 23 38 73 E 10 10 4 1 SE20 770 E 10 6906 P 09/16-01 70 23 38 73 E 9 1 661 E 9 5401 P 09/16-02 70 23 37 73 E 8 1 553 E 8 3896 P 09/16-03 70 23 36 72 E 7 7 4 1 SE18 444 E 6 2391 P 09/16-04 70 23 36 72 E 6 1 417 E 6 2257 P 09/16-05 70 23 35 72 E 6 1 391 E 6 2124 P 09/16-06 70 23 35 71 E 7 7 4 1 E15 364 E 6 1991 P 09/16-07 70 23 36 69 E 9 1 740 E 9 7240 P 09/16-08 70 23 37 65 E 12 1 1116 E 12 12489 P 09/16-09 70 23 39 61 E 14 22 4 1 E18 1493 E 14 17738 P 09/16-10 70 23 41 56 E 15 1 2396 E 15 34427 P 09/16-11 70 23 44 52 E 15 1 3300 E 17 51117 F 09/16-12 78 40 46 49 E 15 24 3 4 E23 4203 E 18 67806 G 09/16-13 78 40 47 49 E 15 4 4299 E 18 69414 G 09/16-14 78 40 47 50 E 16 4 4395 E 18 71021 G 09/16-15 78 40 47 52 E 16 25 4 4 E23 4490 E 18 72628 G 09/16-16 78 40 47 54 E 16 4 4117 E 17 64271 G 09/16-17 78 40 46 57 E 15 4 3743 E 17 55913 F 09/16-18 78 40 46 59 E 14 22 5 4 E21 3370 E 16 47555 F 09/16-19 78 40 44 62 E 13 4 2895 E 15 39047 P 09/16-20 78 40 43 64 E 13 4 2421 E 14 30539 P 09/16-21 78 40 41 65 E 12 12 5 4 E20 1946 E 13 22031 P 09/16-22 78 40 40 66 E 10 4 1682 E 12 17924 P 09/16-23 78 40 39 65 E 9 4 1419 E 10 13818 P 09/17-00 48 15 38 64 E 8 8 5 1 E17 1155 E 9 9711 P 09/17-01 48 15 38 63 E 7 1 1002 E 8 7533 P 09/17-02 48 15 37 61 E 6 1 848 E 7 5355 P 09/17-03 48 15 37 59 E 6 6 5 1 E15 695 E 6 3177 P 09/17-04 48 15 37 57 E 6 1 655 E 5 2943 P 09/17-05 48 15 36 56 E 6 1 614 E 5 2709 P 09/17-06 48 15 36 54 E 6 6 5 1 E15 574 E 5 2474 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...DAVE LARSEN REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20090914.NORTH.01/BOU