FNUS75 KMSO 141801
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE MTN  3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1201 PM MDT MON SEP 14 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ENERGY AND MOISTURE AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN CALIFORNIA HAS USHERED IN CLOUDS AND
SHOWERS TO THE FIRE THIS MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE FIRE
WILL KEEP THIS LINE OF SHOWERS FROM MOVING MUCH FURTHER NORTH.
INCREASED INSTABILITY FROM HEATING WILL KEEP A THREAT OF
THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE FIRE THROUGH EARLY EVENING. POTENTIAL FOR
WETTING RAIN WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDANT ON LOCATION OF EMBEDDED
SHOWERS...BUT UP TO .10 IS EXPECTED WITH A DECENT CELL THIS
AFTERNOON. THE ABOVE MENTIONED WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE OFF TO THE
EAST OVERNIGHT...TAKING THE SHOWERS WITH IT. THE FIRE WILL REMAIN
BETWEEN SYSTEMS THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE EXITING
MONDAY SYSTEM THAT WINDS WILL INCREASE KEEPING MIXING DECENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 5-8 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EARLY EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
MAX HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 5-8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE 1-3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 6-10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MEAD
REQUESTED BY...HAYDEN GNEWIKOW
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090914.BLUEM.01/MSO