FNUS75 KBOU 161155 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH INLET PROJECT...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 547 AM MDT WED SEP 16 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING BY EARLY EVENING. A COOLER AIRMASS HAS SETTLED IN OVER THE AREA WITH TEMPERATURE READINGS 4-7 DEGREES COOLER TODAY ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT ACROSS THEN NORTHERN PLAINS STATES WILL KEEP A LIGHT NORTHEAST TO EAST FLOW ALOFT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....46. MIN HUMIDITY........55%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10-16 MPH UNTIL 1200....THEN EAST 10-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....39. MAX HUMIDITY........62%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 600-1600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....45. MIN HUMIDITY........42%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR NORTH INLET PROJECT. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/16-05 59 25 36 85 SE 6 1 340 E 6 1851 P 09/16-06 76 10 36 86 E 7 7 4 1 E25 352 E 7 2224 P 09/16-07 76 10 37 81 E 9 1 860 E 9 8456 P 09/16-08 76 10 38 75 E 12 1 1367 E 12 14688 P 09/16-09 76 10 40 67 E 13 13 4 1 E30 1875 E 13 20920 P 09/16-10 76 10 43 61 E 14 1 2457 E 14 31266 P 09/16-11 76 10 44 58 E 14 1 3038 E 15 41613 F 09/16-12 81 20 45 56 E 14 22 4 4 E36 3620 E 16 51959 F 09/16-13 81 20 45 55 E 14 4 3786 E 16 53198 F 09/16-14 81 20 46 55 E 13 4 3952 E 16 54437 F 09/16-15 81 20 46 55 E 13 13 4 4 SE31 4119 E 16 55676 F 09/16-16 81 20 46 57 E 13 4 3861 E 15 49617 F 09/16-17 81 20 46 58 E 12 4 3603 E 14 43559 F 09/16-18 56 10 46 59 E 12 12 4 2 E23 3345 E 13 37500 P 09/16-19 56 10 45 61 E 12 2 2862 E 13 31633 P 09/16-20 56 10 43 62 E 12 2 2378 E 13 25767 P 09/16-21 56 10 43 61 E 12 12 4 2 E22 1894 E 13 19900 P 09/16-22 56 10 42 60 E 10 2 1675 E 12 16832 P 09/16-23 56 10 42 58 E 9 2 1456 E 10 13764 P 09/17-00 18 0 41 57 E 8 8 4 1 E21 1236 E 10 10696 P 09/17-01 18 0 41 56 E 6 1 1006 E 8 7786 P 09/17-02 18 0 40 53 SE 5 1 777 SE 6 4876 P 09/17-03 18 0 40 51 SE 3 3 4 1 SE17 547 SE 5 1966 P 09/17-04 18 0 40 49 SE 3 1 474 SE 3 1615 P 09/17-05 18 0 40 48 SE 3 1 401 SE 3 1264 P 09/17-06 13 0 40 47 SE 5 5 5 1 E15 328 SE 3 914 P 09/17-07 13 0 40 45 SE 5 1 683 SE 3 2548 P 09/17-08 13 0 41 45 SE 5 1 1038 SE 5 4183 P 09/17-09 13 0 42 43 E 5 5 5 1 E20 1393 SE 5 5817 P 09/17-10 13 0 43 42 E 6 1 2115 SE 7 13594 P 09/17-11 13 0 44 43 E 7 1 2836 E 8 21372 P 09/17-12 31 10 44 43 E 8 8 5 2 E20 3557 E 9 29149 P 09/17-13 31 10 45 45 E 9 2 3626 E 9 29580 P 09/17-14 31 10 45 47 E 10 2 3695 E 9 30011 P 09/17-15 31 10 45 49 E 12 12 5 2 E17 3764 E 9 30442 P 09/17-16 31 10 45 51 E 12 2 3386 E 9 27731 P 09/17-17 31 10 44 54 E 12 2 3007 E 9 25021 P 09/17-18 31 10 44 55 SE 12 12 5 2 E12 2629 E 9 22311 P 09/17-19 31 10 43 56 SE 10 2 2166 SE 9 18103 P 09/17-20 31 10 42 56 SE 9 2 1702 SE 9 13896 P 09/17-21 31 10 42 55 SE 8 8 5 2 E12 1239 SE 9 9688 P 09/17-22 31 10 41 52 SE 7 2 1020 SE 7 7099 P 09/17-23 31 10 41 50 SE 6 2 802 SE 6 4509 P 09/18-00 5 0 40 49 S 3 3 5 1 E13 583 SE 3 1920 P 09/18-01 5 0 40 48 S 3 1 463 S 3 1458 P 09/18-02 5 0 40 48 SW 3 1 344 SW 3 996 P 09/18-03 5 0 39 47 W 2 2 5 1 E13 224 W 2 534 P 09/18-04 5 0 39 47 W 3 1 216 W 3 582 P 09/18-05 5 0 39 47 W 3 1 209 W 3 630 P 09/18-06 5 0 39 46 W 5 5 5 1 E13 201 W 3 678 P 09/18-07 5 0 39 46 NW 5 1 453 NW 3 1526 P 09/18-08 5 0 41 44 NW 5 1 706 NW 3 2374 P 09/18-09 5 0 42 43 NW 5 5 5 1 E14 959 NW 3 3222 P 09/18-10 5 0 43 42 N 5 1 2660 N 5 10938 P 09/18-11 5 0 44 42 N 5 1 4361 NE 5 18655 P 09/18-12 30 10 45 42 E 3 3 5 2 E14 6061 E 5 26372 P 09/18-13 30 10 45 43 E 5 2 6550 E 5 25982 P 09/18-14 30 10 45 44 E 6 2 7038 E 5 25593 P 09/18-15 30 10 46 46 E 7 7 4 2 E 9 7526 E 3 25204 P 09/18-16 30 10 45 48 E 7 2 6002 E 5 22855 P 09/18-17 30 10 45 50 E 8 2 4478 E 6 20507 P 09/18-18 30 10 45 51 E 8 8 4 2 E 7 2953 E 7 18158 P 09/18-19 30 10 44 52 E 7 2 2302 E 7 14316 P 09/18-20 30 10 43 52 E 6 2 1650 SE 7 10473 P 09/18-21 30 10 42 51 SE 6 6 4 2 E 8 998 SE 8 6631 P 09/18-22 30 10 42 49 SE 5 2 778 SE 7 4831 P 09/18-23 30 10 41 47 S 5 2 558 S 6 3031 P 09/19-00 18 0 40 47 SW 5 5 4 1 SE10 338 SW 5 1231 P 09/19-01 18 0 40 46 SW 5 1 290 SW 5 1220 P 09/19-02 18 0 39 46 W 6 1 242 W 6 1210 P 09/19-03 18 0 39 46 W 7 7 4 1 S 9 194 W 7 1200 P 09/19-04 18 0 39 46 W 8 1 196 W 8 1386 P 09/19-05 18 0 39 46 W 10 1 197 W 9 1571 P 09/19-06 18 0 39 46 NW 13 21 4 1 S 9 198 W 10 1756 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...DAVE LARSEN REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20090915.NORTH.01/BOU