FNUS73 KAPX 161407
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MISSUAKKE...STATE OF MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1007 AM EDT WED SEP 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD DOWN INTO
THE GREAT LAKES TODAY...USHERING IN A NOTICEABLY COOLER AIRMASS
INTO THE REGION WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE MIDDLE 60S.
WITH THE COOLER AIR FLOWING OVER THE WARM GREAT LAKES...A PERIOD
OF LAKE INDUCED CLOUD COVER COMING OFF LAKE HURON WILL DOMINATE
NORTHERN MICHIGAN INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS...BEFORE DAYTIME
HEATING AND MIXING FINALLY ERODE THE CLOUD COVER BY LATE IN THE
DAY.

IN ADDITION...AS THE HIGH BUILDS INTO THE REGION...A TIGHTER
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN WILL PRODUCE SOME
GUSTINESS TO THE WIND. EAST WINDS SUSTAINED BETWEEN 7 AND 10 MPH
WILL PREVAIL...HOWEVER PLAN ON SOME GUSTS INTO THE 12 TO 15 MPH
RANGE.

ADAM

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON
                    THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40TO  PERCENT).
                    PATCHY DRIZZLE EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................43 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS
                    BETWEEN 12 AND 15 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5500-6200 FT AGL.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (800) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (800).

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........74  70  66  62
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............67  67  67  66
RH..............43  43  43  45
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15
SMOKE DISP......800 700 700 600

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........52     21     21     21     10     10
WEATHER COV.....                            PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
TEMP............65     55     50     46     45     43
RH..............48     72     83     93     93     96
20 FT WIND......E 6    E 6    E 5    E 3    E 2    E 1
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     5      5

$$
FORECASTER...BRIAN ADAM
REQUESTED BY...JIM FISHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090916.MISSU.01/APX