FNUS75 KBOU 161144 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR S-3...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 539 AM MDT WED SEP 16 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING BY EARLY EVENING. A COOLER AIRMASS HAS SETTLED IN OVER THE AREA WITH TEMPERATURE READINGS 5-8 DEGREES COOLER TODAY ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL ONLY REACH THE FAIR CATEGORY LATER THIS MORNING...DUE TO THE WEAK FLOW ALOFT AND HIGHER STABILITY IN THE MID LEVELS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....69. MIN HUMIDITY........39%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 6200-7200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....53. MAX HUMIDITY........49%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5-6 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN NORTHWEST 5-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 600-1600 FT AGL AFTER 2200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71. MIN HUMIDITY........32%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 6-7 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN EAST 6-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 5800-6800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR S-3. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/16-05 50 0 54 75 NW 3 1 293 N 7 1707 P 09/16-06 82 0 53 77 NW 6 6 2 1 E15 303 N 8 2056 P 09/16-07 82 0 55 70 NW 6 1 1423 N 9 12761 P 09/16-08 82 0 57 63 N 5 1 2542 NE 9 23466 P 09/16-09 82 0 61 54 N 5 5 2 1 E22 3662 NE 10 34170 P 09/16-10 82 0 64 47 N 5 1 4647 NE 10 43970 F 09/16-11 82 0 66 45 NE 5 1 5633 NE 12 53771 F 09/16-12 66 10 68 43 NE 5 5 2 2 E29 6618 E 12 63571 G 09/16-13 66 10 69 41 E 5 2 6859 E 10 59972 F 09/16-14 66 10 69 40 E 6 2 7099 E 9 56373 F 09/16-15 66 10 70 39 SE 6 6 2 2 E26 7340 E 8 52774 F 09/16-16 66 10 69 39 SE 6 2 7108 E 8 48115 F 09/16-17 66 10 68 41 SE 6 2 6876 E 7 43457 F 09/16-18 48 0 68 41 SE 5 5 2 1 E24 6644 E 7 38799 P 09/16-19 48 0 65 44 E 3 1 5482 E 7 31466 P 09/16-20 48 0 63 46 N 2 1 4319 E 6 24133 P 09/16-21 48 0 61 46 CALM 1 2 1 E22 3156 E 6 16800 P 09/16-22 48 0 60 46 CALM 1 2430 E 6 12445 P 09/16-23 48 0 59 45 N 2 1 1704 E 5 8090 P 09/17-00 18 0 57 46 N 3 3 2 1 E20 979 E 5 3735 P 09/17-01 18 0 56 47 NW 5 1 798 E 3 2793 P 09/17-02 18 0 55 47 NW 5 1 617 N 3 1851 P 09/17-03 18 0 54 48 W 6 6 2 1 E21 436 NW 2 910 P 09/17-04 18 0 54 48 W 6 1 420 NW 3 1166 P 09/17-05 18 0 54 48 W 7 1 403 W 5 1422 P 09/17-06 13 0 53 49 W 7 7 2 1 E16 387 W 5 1678 P 09/17-07 13 0 55 47 NW 5 1 1385 SW 5 4299 P 09/17-08 13 0 58 43 N 3 1 2383 S 3 6919 P 09/17-09 13 0 61 39 CALM 1 3 1 E15 3380 SE 3 9539 P 09/17-10 13 0 65 35 E 2 1 4226 SE 5 15953 P 09/17-11 13 0 67 34 E 5 1 5072 SE 5 22366 P 09/17-12 19 0 69 33 E 6 6 3 1 SE13 5917 SE 6 28780 P 09/17-13 19 0 70 32 E 7 1 6192 SE 6 29448 P 09/17-14 19 0 70 32 E 7 1 6466 SE 6 30116 P 09/17-15 19 0 71 32 E 8 8 3 1 SE 8 6741 SE 6 30784 P 09/17-16 19 0 71 33 E 8 1 6257 SE 6 30131 P 09/17-17 19 0 69 35 E 8 1 5773 E 6 29478 P 09/17-18 19 0 69 35 E 7 7 2 1 NE 3 5289 E 6 28825 P 09/17-19 19 0 66 38 SE 6 1 3904 E 6 20638 P 09/17-20 19 0 63 41 SE 5 1 2520 SE 5 12450 P 09/17-21 19 0 61 42 S 2 2 2 1 NE 8 1135 SE 5 4262 P 09/17-22 19 0 60 43 S 3 1 867 S 5 3212 P 09/17-23 19 0 59 43 SW 3 1 600 SW 3 2161 P 09/18-00 5 0 57 45 W 5 5 2 1 E 8 332 W 3 1111 P 09/18-01 5 0 55 47 W 6 1 300 W 5 1109 P 09/18-02 5 0 54 49 W 6 1 268 W 5 1107 P 09/18-03 5 0 53 50 W 7 7 2 1 E 3 236 W 6 1105 P 09/18-04 5 0 53 51 W 7 1 243 W 5 1073 P 09/18-05 5 0 52 52 W 6 1 251 W 5 1041 P 09/18-06 5 0 52 50 W 6 6 3 1 N 7 258 W 5 1008 P 09/18-07 5 0 54 48 W 5 1 1097 W 3 1849 P 09/18-08 5 0 57 43 N 3 1 1935 NW 2 2691 P 09/18-09 5 0 61 37 CALM 1 3 1 NE 9 2774 CALM 3532 P 09/18-10 5 0 66 32 NE 3 1 3443 N 2 7222 P 09/18-11 5 0 68 30 E 5 1 4111 NE 2 10913 P 09/18-12 20 0 70 28 E 7 7 3 1 E 7 4780 NE 3 14603 P 09/18-13 20 0 71 28 E 8 1 5107 NE 3 17465 P 09/18-14 20 0 72 28 E 8 1 5435 E 5 20326 P 09/18-15 20 0 73 28 E 7 7 3 1 CALM 5763 E 5 23188 P 09/18-16 20 0 72 28 E 7 1 5586 E 5 23706 P 09/18-17 20 0 71 30 E 6 1 5409 E 5 24224 P 09/18-18 20 0 71 30 E 6 6 2 1 N 5 5232 E 6 24742 P 09/18-19 20 0 67 33 E 5 1 3674 E 5 17232 P 09/18-20 20 0 64 36 E 2 1 2116 SE 5 9722 P 09/18-21 20 0 62 38 SE 2 2 2 1 N 5 558 SE 5 2212 P 09/18-22 20 0 61 39 CALM 1 470 S 5 1797 P 09/18-23 20 0 60 39 W 2 1 382 SW 5 1382 P 09/19-00 10 0 58 42 W 5 5 2 1 CALM 295 W 3 966 P 09/19-01 10 0 56 43 SW 3 1 266 W 3 893 P 09/19-02 10 0 55 45 W 3 1 236 W 3 819 P 09/19-03 10 0 54 46 W 5 5 2 1 NW 8 207 W 5 745 P 09/19-04 10 0 54 47 W 5 1 202 W 5 896 P 09/19-05 10 0 53 48 W 5 1 196 W 6 1046 P 09/19-06 10 0 53 48 W 8 8 3 1 NW 9 191 W 7 1197 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...ZADER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090916.S3___.02/BOU