FNUS73 KGRR 161253
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR BUDWORM 61...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
853 AM EDT WED SEP 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1330 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. AN
EASTERLY FLOW WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES IN ACROSS THE AREA. DRY
WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE OF
SOME SPRINKLES FRIDAY AS A WEAKENING COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. MORE DRY
WEATHER IS THEN EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND
IF NOT MORE.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........68 AT IGNITION...MAX 71.
RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 12 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE EAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 8 TO
                    17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 6000-6500
    FT AGL DURING THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO
                    4000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....500-900 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT) FROM LATE MORNING
    THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO
    600-1000 (EXCELLENT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG
                    OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73.
RH..................MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2400 FT AGL IN
                    THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-100 (POOR).

$$
FORECASTER...HOVING
REQUESTED BY...BOB LITTLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090916.BUDWO.01/GRR