FNUS75 KMSO 162002
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR LILY LAKE WFU
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
202 PM MDT WED SEP 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1336 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SURFACE THERMAL BOUNDARY HAS SET UP NEAR THE FIRE
THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL INTERACT WITH AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE AND
MOISTURE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM TO SET OFF SOME
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ONCE AGAIN NEAR THE FIRE.
INCREASED MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE MEANS ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP
WILL BE WET...HOWEVER GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS NEAR OR AHEAD OF STORMS
SHOULD BE EXPECTED. A PACIFIC WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE INLAND
TONIGHT AND SPREAD CLOUDS OVER THE FIRE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AN
INCREASED PRESSURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE FRONT WITH
THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL INCREASE SOUTH WINDS OVER THE FIRE
THURSDAY. A THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS ALSO CONTINUES FROM THIS
WEATHER SYSTEM THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 3-6 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 8-9 MPH AND
                    GUSTY IN THE AFTERNOON NEAR STORMS WITH GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5-7 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE 2-4 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5-10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...MEAD
REQUESTED BY...HENSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090916.LILYL.01/MSO