FNUS75 KBOU 161857 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP CREEK 2 RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1252 PM MDT WED SEP 16 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER SOUTHWEST UTAH WILL SHIFT WESTWARD THIS AFTERNOON...AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. THIS WILL RESULT IN EASTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS THIS AFTERNOON... SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH DURING THE EVENING. THERE IS ENOUGH MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE FOR A FEW STORMS THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH SHOULD END BY THIS EVENING. ON THURSDAY...THE HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE AREA...WITH SOUTHEASTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS DEVELOPING BY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-66. MIN HUMIDITY........29-35%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 8-16 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AFTER 1500. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7400-8400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40%) UNTIL 2000...THEN MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-44. MAX HUMIDITY........60-67%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-7000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 200-800 FT AGL AFTER 0100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900...BECOMING POOR BY 2200. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-72. MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 7-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1800 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 7000-8000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR. GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SHEEP CREEK 2. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/16-12 46 10 66 33 E 13 13 2 2 E28 7278 E 16 105049 V 09/16-13 46 10 67 30 E 14 2 7636 E 17 114021 V 09/16-14 46 10 68 29 E 14 2 7993 E 17 122992 V 09/16-15 46 10 69 29 E 14 22 2 2 E29 8351 E 18 131964 V 09/16-16 46 10 68 31 SE 14 2 7939 E 17 123234 V 09/16-17 46 10 67 35 SE 14 2 7527 E 17 114504 V 09/16-18 45 0 67 39 SE 13 13 2 1 E25 7115 E 17 105774 V 09/16-19 45 0 62 45 SE 12 1 5868 E 16 84886 G 09/16-20 45 0 58 51 SE 10 1 4621 SE 15 63997 G 09/16-21 45 0 56 53 SE 9 9 3 1 E22 3374 SE 15 43109 F 09/16-22 45 0 55 56 SE 9 1 2622 SE 14 33078 P 09/16-23 45 0 53 57 S 8 1 1870 SE 14 23047 P 09/17-00 13 0 50 61 S 8 8 3 1 E22 1118 SE 14 13016 P 09/17-01 13 0 48 62 S 7 1 855 SE 12 9262 P 09/17-02 13 0 47 63 S 6 1 592 S 8 5508 P 09/17-03 13 0 46 63 S 5 5 3 1 E20 329 S 6 1753 P 09/17-04 13 0 45 62 S 5 1 299 S 6 1453 P 09/17-05 13 0 45 61 SW 5 1 270 S 5 1153 P 09/17-06 13 0 44 60 SW 5 5 3 1 E16 240 SW 5 853 P 09/17-07 13 0 46 56 SW 3 1 851 S 5 4391 P 09/17-08 13 0 50 50 S 3 1 1462 S 6 7930 P 09/17-09 13 0 55 42 S 2 2 3 1 E17 2073 SE 7 11468 P 09/17-10 13 0 60 36 S 5 1 3729 SE 8 32554 P 09/17-11 13 0 62 34 SE 7 1 5385 SE 10 53640 F 09/17-12 18 0 65 32 SE 9 9 3 1 E15 7041 SE 13 74727 G 09/17-13 18 0 66 31 SE 10 1 7451 SE 12 75734 G 09/17-14 18 0 67 31 SE 12 1 7861 SE 12 76742 G 09/17-15 18 0 68 30 SE 13 13 3 1 SE10 8271 SE 10 77749 G 09/17-16 18 0 67 31 SE 13 1 7491 SE 10 67200 G 09/17-17 18 0 66 32 SE 13 1 6710 SE 9 56650 F 09/17-18 18 0 65 33 SE 13 13 4 1 E 6 5930 SE 9 46101 F 09/17-19 18 0 61 38 SE 12 1 4633 SE 10 39504 P 09/17-20 18 0 57 44 SE 10 1 3336 SE 13 32907 P 09/17-21 18 0 55 47 S 8 8 4 1 E 7 2040 SE 15 26310 P 09/17-22 18 0 53 51 S 8 1 1511 SE 14 18870 P 09/17-23 18 0 51 54 S 7 1 983 S 12 11431 P 09/18-00 5 0 48 59 S 6 6 5 1 E10 455 S 10 3992 P 09/18-01 5 0 46 63 S 6 1 363 S 8 2914 P 09/18-02 5 0 45 65 S 5 1 271 S 7 1837 P 09/18-03 5 0 44 68 SW 5 5 5 1 E 9 179 S 5 759 P 09/18-04 5 0 43 68 SW 5 1 165 SW 5 676 P 09/18-05 5 0 43 68 SW 5 1 150 SW 5 593 P 09/18-06 5 0 42 61 SW 5 5 5 1 E 8 135 SW 5 510 P 09/18-07 5 0 44 58 SW 3 1 374 SW 3 926 P 09/18-08 5 0 48 51 SW 3 1 612 SW 3 1342 P 09/18-09 5 0 54 42 SW 2 2 4 1 E10 851 SW 2 1758 P 09/18-10 5 0 60 35 S 3 1 2667 S 3 10094 P 09/18-11 5 0 62 31 SE 5 1 4484 SE 5 18429 P 09/18-12 23 0 65 28 E 7 7 4 1 E10 6300 E 5 26765 P 09/18-13 23 0 66 27 E 7 1 7006 E 5 30189 P 09/18-14 23 0 67 26 E 8 1 7712 E 5 33614 P 09/18-15 23 0 68 26 E 9 9 4 1 E 6 8418 SE 5 37038 P 09/18-16 23 0 68 27 E 10 1 7494 SE 6 35087 P 09/18-17 23 0 66 28 SE 10 1 6571 SE 6 33137 P 09/18-18 23 0 66 29 SE 10 10 5 1 E 2 5647 SE 7 31186 P 09/18-19 23 0 61 34 SE 10 1 4285 SE 9 27506 P 09/18-20 23 0 57 39 SE 9 1 2923 SE 12 23826 P 09/18-21 23 0 55 42 SE 8 8 5 1 E 2 1560 SE 15 20146 P 09/18-22 23 0 53 45 S 7 1 1142 S 13 14041 P 09/18-23 23 0 51 47 S 6 1 723 S 9 7937 P 09/19-00 12 0 48 52 S 5 5 5 1 CALM 305 S 7 1832 P 09/19-01 12 0 46 55 SW 6 1 242 S 7 1464 P 09/19-02 12 0 45 57 SW 6 1 179 SW 7 1096 P 09/19-03 12 0 43 59 SW 7 7 3 1 W 5 116 SW 7 728 P 09/19-04 12 0 43 60 SW 7 1 114 SW 8 820 P 09/19-05 12 0 42 60 W 8 1 112 W 9 912 P 09/19-06 12 0 42 61 W 10 10 4 1 W 8 110 W 10 1004 P 09/19-07 12 0 44 58 W 10 1 09/19-08 12 0 49 50 W 10 1 09/19-09 12 0 55 41 W 10 10 1 09/19-10 12 0 61 32 W 10 1 09/19-11 12 0 64 29 W 9 1 09/19-12 26 0 67 27 W 9 9 1 09/19-13 26 0 69 26 W 9 1 09/19-14 26 0 70 24 W 9 1 09/19-15 26 0 71 24 W 9 9 1 09/19-16 26 0 70 25 W 9 1 09/19-17 26 0 68 27 W 9 1 09/19-18 26 0 68 27 W 9 9 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...LESZCYNSKI...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JAMES WHITE REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090917.SHEEP.01/BOU