FNUS74 KMAF 171346 FWSMAF SPOT FORECAST FOR ALKALI LAKE...BLM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 846 AM CDT THU SEP 17 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE ARIZONA/NEW MEXICO BORDER WILL ONCE AGAIN BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL ONLY REMAIN IN THE THE "GOOD" CATEGORY AS WARMER AIR RESIDES ALOFT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN AND NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS. BY TOMORROW...WEAK 20 FOOT WINDS COMBINED WITH CONTINUED WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL ONLY LEAD TO "FAIR" SMOKE MANAGEMENT CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN OUT OF THE EAST BEFORE BECOMING SOUTHEASTERLY UNDER 10 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT AND AGAIN THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW IN RESPONSE TO THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED UPPER LEVEL LOW. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PCT. TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 79. RH..................73 PCT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........2 /VERY LOW/. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /77000 KNOT-FT/. TIME (MDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............63 71 75 78 78 RH..............73 58 48 40 39 20 FT WIND DIR..NW N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 11 12 12 MIX HGT (FT)....500 3000 7000 7000 7500 TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE NE NE N TRANSP WIND SPD.4 5 7 7 9 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56. RH..................MAX 82 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 /VERY LOW/. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............77 71 66 63 61 58 RH..............38 47 56 64 69 77 20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 11 9 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....7500 7000 500 500 500 1500 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE N NE NE E TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 3 5 5 9 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PCT. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80. RH..................MIN 32 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........2 /VERY LOW/. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /52000 KNOT-FT/. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............56 59 67 74 79 79 RH..............82 72 53 41 34 32 20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE E NE E 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 2 2 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1500 1500 3500 6000 6500 7000 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 4 8 8 6 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...GITRO REQUESTED BY...JENNIFER WARD TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090917.ALKAL.01/MAF