FNUS73 KMQT 171445
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SUPER BEAR RX BURN...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1045 AM EDT THU SEP 17 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SOUTHWEST FLOW ON THE WESTERN FLANK OF A HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE MOVING INTO NEW ENGLAND WILL BRING A RETURN OF
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY BEFORE THE PASSAGE OF A COLD
FRONT TONIGHT USHERS IN A COOLER CANADIAN AIRMASS FOR FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT AT THE FIRE
SITE TODAY...BUT SINCE DEEPER MOISTURE IS LIKELY TO REMAIN WELL
NORTH IN CANADA...NO RAIN IS EXPECTED. AFTER THE POTENTIAL FOR
SOME FROST ON FRIDAY NIGHT...WARMER AND CONTINUED DRY WEATHER WILL
BE THE RULE FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...BUT THE APPROACH OF A COLD
FRONT EARLY NEXT WEEK MAY BRING SOME MUCH NEEDED RAIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65 AT IGNITION...MAX 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 54 PERCENT.
GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 11 TO 19 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (354) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (481).
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...AND TO 4200 FT AGL BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
                    MIXING HEIGHT DECREASING TO 1600 FT AGL BY EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........35  43  47  48  49  49  51  54
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............65  67  69  70  71  70  70  67
RH..............68  60  57  54  54  55  56  65
GENERAL WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
GENERAL WIND SPD..7   7   8   8   8   7   7   7
GENERAL WIND GST..15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
VINDX KT-FT/100.354 422 461 481 430 388 300 229
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 3.8 4.2 4.0 3.6 3.0 2.3 1.6
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH 4 TO 9 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 11 TO 23 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1100 FT AGL.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........55     59     63     65     62     57
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............65     57     53     51     50     48
RH..............70     91     100    100    100    100
GENERAL WIND....SW 6   SW 6   W 6    NW 6   NW 6   N 5
GENERAL GUST....10     10     10     10     10     10
VINDX KT-FT/100.149    85     50     40     0      0
MIX HGT (FT)....1100   600    300    300    BLW100 BLW100
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      2

$$
FORECASTER...JLA
REQUESTED BY...ZIEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090917.SUPER.01/MQT