FNUS75 KBOU 180325 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP CREEK 2...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 925 PM MDT THU SEP 17 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING MILD AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY. LIGHT DIURNAL WINDS WILL PREVAIL FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD. A WEAK EASTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL MIX DOWN TO PROVIDE SOME SOUTHEAST WIND GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOONS. ONCE THE MORNING INVERSION LIFTS AROUND NOON...SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE GOOD. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71. MIN HUMIDITY........31-36%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 4-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 4600-5600 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 9200-10200 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 7400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38. MAX HUMIDITY........80-90%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 4-9 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 200-400 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73. MIN HUMIDITY........24-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 4-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 11600-12600 FT AGL AFTER 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200. GOOD AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SHEEP CREEK 2. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/17-21 13 0 55 39 SE 7 7 5 1 E10 1649 SE 16 23686 P 09/17-22 5 0 53 43 S 7 1 1210 SE 14 16593 P 09/17-23 5 0 51 47 S 6 1 771 S 12 9500 P 09/18-00 5 0 48 54 S 5 5 5 1 E10 332 S 8 2406 P 09/18-01 5 0 46 57 S 5 1 268 S 7 1760 P 09/18-02 5 0 45 59 S 3 1 203 S 6 1113 P 09/18-03 5 0 43 59 SW 3 3 5 1 E 9 139 SW 3 466 P 09/18-04 5 0 42 62 SW 3 1 131 SW 3 443 P 09/18-05 5 0 42 61 SW 3 1 124 SW 3 420 P 09/18-06 5 0 41 63 SW 3 3 4 1 NE 9 116 SW 3 397 P 09/18-07 5 0 40 67 SW 3 1 1486 S 3 4247 P 09/18-08 5 0 47 53 S 3 1 2856 E 3 8096 P 09/18-09 5 0 61 33 S 2 2 4 1 NE14 4226 E 3 11945 P 09/18-10 5 0 65 27 SE 5 1 5973 E 5 32599 P 09/18-11 32 0 69 24 SE 6 1 7720 E 7 53253 F 09/18-12 32 0 69 23 E 7 7 4 1 NE16 9468 E 9 73907 G 09/18-13 32 0 71 22 E 8 1 9901 E 9 75861 G 09/18-14 32 0 71 22 E 9 1 10335 E 9 77815 G 09/18-15 32 0 70 23 E 10 10 4 1 E12 10769 E 8 79769 G 09/18-16 32 0 70 23 E 10 1 9050 E 8 66924 G 09/18-17 32 0 68 25 SE 10 1 7331 E 8 54079 F 09/18-18 31 0 65 28 SE 10 10 4 1 NE 6 5612 E 8 41234 F 09/18-19 31 0 59 34 SE 9 1 5204 E 9 33196 P 09/18-20 31 0 54 41 SE 8 1 3600 SE 12 28928 P 09/18-21 22 0 51 46 SE 7 7 5 1 NE 7 1996 SE 14 24661 P 09/18-22 22 0 48 51 S 6 1 1436 SE 13 17247 P 09/18-23 22 0 46 56 S 6 1 876 S 10 9833 P 09/19-00 12 0 46 56 S 5 5 5 1 NE 6 316 S 9 2419 P 09/19-01 12 0 44 60 S 3 1 261 S 7 1745 P 09/19-02 12 0 43 62 SW 2 1 206 SW 5 1070 P 09/19-03 12 0 42 63 SW 2 2 5 1 E 2 151 SW 3 396 P 09/19-04 12 0 41 66 SW 2 1 140 SW 3 424 P 09/19-05 12 0 41 63 SW 3 1 129 SW 5 452 P 09/19-06 12 0 41 64 W 5 5 5 1 N 2 117 W 5 480 P 09/19-07 12 0 43 57 SW 5 1 194 SW 5 691 P 09/19-08 12 0 48 47 S 5 1 270 SW 5 901 P 09/19-09 12 0 53 38 S 5 5 5 1 CALM 346 SW 3 1112 P 09/19-10 12 0 58 31 SE 5 1 3093 W 5 13462 P 09/19-11 27 0 64 25 SE 5 1 5841 W 5 25811 P 09/19-12 27 0 68 21 E 5 5 3 1 SW 3 8589 W 5 38161 P 09/19-13 42 10 70 20 E 6 2 9985 W 6 45662 F 09/19-14 42 10 71 19 SE 8 2 11382 W 6 53163 F 09/19-15 42 10 72 19 SE 9 9 3 2 W12 12779 W 6 60664 G 09/19-16 42 10 72 19 SE 10 2 12494 W 6 65161 G 09/19-17 42 10 72 20 SE 10 2 12208 W 7 69658 G 09/19-18 42 10 71 21 S 10 10 3 2 W17 11922 W 7 74154 G 09/19-19 42 10 67 24 S 10 2 8245 W 8 52403 F 09/19-20 42 10 62 30 S 9 2 4567 S 10 30651 P 09/19-21 22 10 57 37 S 8 8 3 2 W14 890 S 12 8899 P 09/19-22 22 0 53 44 S 7 1 640 S 9 6111 P 09/19-23 22 0 51 50 S 6 1 389 S 7 3323 P 09/20-00 15 0 48 55 S 5 5 3 1 W15 139 S 5 534 P 09/20-01 15 0 46 57 S 5 1 134 SW 6 601 P 09/20-02 15 0 45 59 S 5 1 129 SW 6 668 P 09/20-03 15 0 44 60 SW 6 6 4 1 W10 123 SW 7 735 P 09/20-04 15 0 43 60 SW 6 1 123 SW 8 835 P 09/20-05 15 0 42 60 W 7 1 122 W 9 935 P 09/20-06 14 0 42 57 W 8 8 4 1 W14 121 W 10 1035 P 09/20-07 14 0 45 52 W 9 1 228 W 12 2805 P 09/20-08 14 0 49 45 W 10 1 335 W 14 4576 P 09/20-09 14 0 55 36 W 10 10 3 1 NW14 442 W 16 6346 P 09/20-10 14 0 61 29 W 12 1 3529 W 16 49918 F 09/20-11 14 0 64 27 W 13 1 6616 W 16 93489 G 09/20-12 63 20 67 25 W 13 13 3 3 W 5 9704 W 16 137061 V 09/20-13 63 20 68 24 W 13 3 10297 W 16 145348 V 09/20-14 63 20 70 23 W 13 3 10890 W 16 153636 E 09/20-15 63 20 70 23 NW 13 13 2 3 SW10 11484 W 16 161924 E 09/20-16 63 20 70 24 NW 12 3 10928 W 18 171322 E 09/20-17 63 20 68 25 NW 12 3 10372 W 21 180720 E 09/20-18 63 20 67 26 NW 10 10 2 3 SW21 9816 W 22 190118 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JAMES WHITE REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090918.SHEEP.01/BOU