FNUS72 KMLB 181217
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JDSP PICNIC AREA...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE, JONATHAN DICKINSON STATE PAR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
817 AM EDT FRI SEP 18 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...RADARS AT MELBOURNE AND WEST PALM BEACH WERE
DETECTING SHOWERS FROM JUST SOUTH OF INDIANTOWN EAST INTO THE GULF
STREAM. FIRST FEW VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES WERE ALSO SHOWING
MORE SHOWERS EMBEDDED IN THE DEEP EASTERLY FLOW JUST NORTH OF GRAND
BAHAMA WITH A DISSIPATING TREND EAST OF THE ISLAND. WINDS JUST
ABOVE THE SURFACE WERE AROUND 15 KNOTS AND SHOULD MIX DOWN DURING
THE DAY INCREASING TRANSPORT WINDS TO AROUND 13 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST 7 TO 10 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....50.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............87  87  86  86  86  85  84  83  82  82  81  81
RH..............65  68  68  68  68  70  72  74  77  77  79  79
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..8   12  12  12  12  10  9   8   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.10  15  15  15  15      10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-600 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....10.
LVORI...............5.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 10 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-3700 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....41.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...WIMMER
REQUESTED BY...ROB ROSSMANITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090918.JDSPP.01/MLB