FNUS75 KBOU 220102 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HEIL PA7...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 655 PM MDT MON SEP 21 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DRIFT INTO WESTERN KANSAS ON TUESDAY. AS THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMES UNSTABLE AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON...EXPECT SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS TO DEVELOP. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL FROM SHOWERS THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED TO BE A .10 OF AN INCH OR LESS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....33. MAX HUMIDITY........79%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 12-22 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN 8-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 200-400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...MAINLY AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....46. MIN HUMIDITY........56%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10-20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1600 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 6000-7000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR. VERY GOOD AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....42. MAX HUMIDITY........62%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-5400 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 2800-3800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2400...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....47. MIN HUMIDITY........60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-6400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1800... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HEIL PA7. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/21-18 84 30 42 67 N 20 31 3 1 NW20 1996 N 17 30799 P 09/21-19 84 30 40 69 N 18 1 1434 N 16 21691 P 09/21-20 84 30 38 72 N 17 1 872 NW 15 12583 P 09/21-21 81 30 37 73 N 15 24 3 1 NW14 310 NW 13 3475 P 09/21-22 81 30 36 73 N 14 1 290 NW 13 3141 P 09/21-23 81 30 36 73 N 13 1 270 NW 12 2807 P 09/22-00 79 21 35 72 N 12 12 3 1 NW14 250 NW 12 2472 P 09/22-01 79 21 35 73 N 10 1 254 NW 10 2162 P 09/22-02 79 21 34 74 N 9 1 258 N 8 1851 P 09/22-03 79 21 34 75 N 9 9 3 1 NW22 262 N 7 1540 P 09/22-04 79 21 34 76 N 9 1 259 N 8 1838 P 09/22-05 79 21 33 77 N 10 1 255 NW 9 2136 P 09/22-06 83 40 33 79 NW 12 12 2 1 N31 252 NW 12 2434 P 09/22-07 83 40 34 74 N 14 1 1841 NW 15 33059 P 09/22-08 83 40 36 68 N 14 1 3430 N 18 63684 G 09/22-09 83 40 39 62 N 14 22 2 1 N35 5020 N 22 94308 G 09/22-10 83 40 42 59 N 13 1 5780 N 22 108820 V 09/22-11 83 40 43 61 N 12 1 6541 N 22 123332 V 09/22-12 79 40 44 61 N 12 12 2 1 N32 7302 N 22 137843 V 09/22-13 79 40 45 62 N 14 1 7088 N 21 127708 V 09/22-14 79 40 45 63 N 15 1 6874 N 20 117572 V 09/22-15 79 40 46 62 N 16 25 2 1 N37 6661 N 18 107437 V 09/22-16 79 40 46 62 N 14 1 6311 N 18 103712 V 09/22-17 79 40 45 61 NE 10 1 5961 N 20 99986 G 09/22-18 83 50 45 56 N 6 6 2 1 N40 5612 N 20 96261 G 09/22-19 83 50 45 57 N 6 1 5151 N 21 90521 G 09/22-20 83 50 44 58 N 7 1 4691 N 21 84780 G 09/22-21 83 50 44 58 N 7 7 2 1 N39 4230 N 22 79039 G 09/22-22 83 50 43 58 N 7 1 3709 N 21 68607 G 09/22-23 83 50 43 58 NW 7 1 3187 N 21 58174 F 09/23-00 88 54 43 59 NW 8 8 2 1 N35 2665 N 21 47741 F 09/23-01 88 54 42 59 N 8 1 2918 N 21 51637 F 09/23-02 88 54 42 60 N 9 1 3170 N 21 55533 F 09/23-03 88 54 42 60 N 9 9 2 1 N35 3423 N 20 59429 F 09/23-04 88 54 42 60 N 10 1 3613 N 21 63759 G 09/23-05 88 54 42 61 N 9 1 3803 N 21 68089 G 09/23-06 85 60 42 62 N 9 9 2 1 N37 3992 N 21 72418 G 09/23-07 85 60 42 62 N 9 1 4531 N 20 77790 G 09/23-08 85 60 43 62 N 9 1 5069 N 20 83161 G 09/23-09 85 60 44 61 N 9 9 2 1 NE37 5608 N 18 88532 G 09/23-10 85 60 45 60 N 8 1 5852 N 18 95566 G 09/23-11 85 60 46 61 N 7 1 6095 N 20 102600 V 09/23-12 89 60 46 61 N 6 6 3 1 NE20 6339 N 20 109634 V 09/23-13 89 60 46 63 N 6 1 6390 N 20 109765 V 09/23-14 89 60 47 64 NE 5 1 6442 N 20 109896 V 09/23-15 89 60 47 64 NE 5 5 3 1 N21 6494 N 20 110027 V 09/23-16 89 60 47 66 NE 5 1 6266 N 20 103981 V 09/23-17 89 60 46 68 N 5 1 6037 N 18 97935 G 09/23-18 72 25 46 68 N 5 5 2 1 NE20 5808 N 18 91889 G 09/23-19 72 25 44 71 N 5 1 5104 N 17 77408 G 09/23-20 72 25 42 73 N 6 1 4400 N 16 62927 G 09/23-21 72 25 42 72 N 6 6 2 1 NE25 3695 N 15 48446 F 09/23-22 72 25 41 71 N 7 1 2799 N 14 35176 P 09/23-23 72 25 40 70 N 7 1 1903 N 12 21905 P 09/24-00 72 25 39 70 N 8 8 2 1 NE23 1006 NW 10 8634 P 09/24-01 72 25 39 72 N 9 1 780 NW 10 6773 P 09/24-02 72 25 38 74 N 10 1 553 NW 10 4911 P 09/24-03 72 25 38 76 N 12 12 2 1 N29 327 NW 10 3049 P 09/24-04 72 25 37 78 N 12 1 355 NW 10 3234 P 09/24-05 72 25 37 81 N 10 1 384 NW 10 3418 P 09/24-06 77 30 37 84 N 10 10 2 1 N38 413 NW 10 3602 P 09/24-07 77 30 38 84 N 13 1 1773 N 16 37315 P 09/24-08 77 30 41 78 N 14 1 3133 N 21 71029 G 09/24-09 77 30 45 71 N 16 25 2 1 N32 4493 N 26 104742 V 09/24-10 77 30 48 66 N 15 1 5498 N 26 127132 V 09/24-11 77 30 50 65 N 14 1 6504 N 26 149523 V 09/24-12 77 30 51 63 N 13 21 2 1 N38 7510 N 26 171913 E 09/24-13 77 30 52 62 N 13 1 7677 N 28 181544 E 09/24-14 77 30 53 61 N 13 1 7844 N 28 191174 E 09/24-15 77 30 53 60 N 13 21 2 1 N32 8011 N 29 200804 E 09/24-16 77 30 53 60 N 10 1 7380 N 25 169190 E 09/24-17 77 30 52 61 N 8 1 6750 N 23 137577 V 09/24-18 64 23 51 61 N 6 6 2 1 N41 6120 N 20 105963 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...RENEE CREEK REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090922.HEILP.01/BOU