FNUS75 KBOU 220053 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR REYNOLDS RANCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 645 PM MDT MON SEP 21 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DRIFT INTO WESTERN KANSAS ON TUESDAY. AS THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMES UNSTABLE AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON...EXPECT SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO DEVELOP. ANY RESIDUAL SNOWFALL FROM TODAY AND LEFT ON THE BURN AREA SHOULD BE LESS THAN AN INCH...AND MAINLY IN SHELTERED LOCATIONS. ANY ADDITIONAL ACCUMLATIONS ON TUESDAY WILL BE AN INCH OR LESS WITH SHOWER ACTIVITY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-29. MAX HUMIDITY........85-90%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 400-1400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS...MAINLY AFTER 1100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45. MIN HUMIDITY........64%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1030...THEN NORTH 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1800 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 5800-6800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR. VERY GOOD AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....35. MAX HUMIDITY........76%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5600 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 3200-4000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000. GOOD AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....46. MIN HUMIDITY........64%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 8-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-7400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR REYNOLDS RANCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/21-18 81 30 41 66 N 14 22 3 1 N21 3305 N 15 44519 F 09/21-19 81 30 39 68 N 12 1 2377 N 13 30984 P 09/21-20 81 30 37 71 NW 9 1 1448 NW 12 17448 P 09/21-21 78 30 36 73 NW 7 7 2 1 NW16 520 NW 9 3912 P 09/21-22 78 30 35 74 NW 7 1 470 NW 8 3477 P 09/21-23 78 30 34 73 W 7 1 421 NW 8 3042 P 09/22-00 75 22 34 74 W 8 8 2 1 NW17 371 NW 8 2606 P 09/22-01 75 22 33 75 W 8 1 370 NW 8 2494 P 09/22-02 75 22 33 76 W 8 1 368 NW 7 2382 P 09/22-03 75 22 32 77 W 8 8 2 1 NW24 367 NW 7 2269 P 09/22-04 75 22 32 79 W 8 1 378 NW 8 2537 P 09/22-05 75 22 32 82 W 9 1 389 NW 8 2805 P 09/22-06 82 40 31 84 W 9 9 2 1 N32 400 NW 9 3073 P 09/22-07 82 40 32 80 NW 9 1 2117 NW 13 34899 P 09/22-08 82 40 35 74 NW 8 1 3833 N 16 66725 G 09/22-09 82 40 38 67 N 8 8 2 1 N36 5549 N 21 98551 G 09/22-10 82 40 41 65 N 8 1 6030 N 22 115016 V 09/22-11 82 40 42 68 N 8 1 6510 N 23 131480 V 09/22-12 79 40 43 69 N 8 8 2 1 N32 6990 N 24 147945 V 09/22-13 79 40 44 70 N 10 1 6911 N 23 136731 V 09/22-14 79 40 45 69 N 12 1 6832 N 21 125517 V 09/22-15 79 40 45 68 N 13 13 2 1 N36 6753 NW 20 114303 V 09/22-16 79 40 45 68 N 12 1 6381 N 21 116447 V 09/22-17 79 40 44 69 NE 9 1 6008 N 23 118590 V 09/22-18 84 50 44 64 N 6 6 2 1 N38 5636 N 24 120733 V 09/22-19 84 50 42 66 N 5 1 5204 N 23 106782 V 09/22-20 84 50 41 68 N 5 1 4771 N 22 92831 G 09/22-21 84 50 40 69 N 3 3 2 1 N40 4339 N 21 78880 G 09/22-22 84 50 39 69 NW 5 1 3953 N 21 72241 G 09/22-23 84 50 39 69 NW 6 1 3566 N 21 65603 G 09/23-00 88 54 38 71 NW 7 7 2 1 N33 3180 N 22 58964 F 09/23-01 88 54 37 71 NW 7 1 3321 N 21 60413 G 09/23-02 88 54 36 72 NW 7 1 3461 N 21 61862 G 09/23-03 88 54 36 73 NW 7 7 2 1 N35 3602 N 21 63311 G 09/23-04 88 54 36 74 NW 7 1 3692 N 21 64844 G 09/23-05 88 54 36 74 N 6 1 3782 N 21 66378 G 09/23-06 85 60 35 76 N 6 6 2 1 N36 3871 N 21 67912 G 09/23-07 85 60 36 75 N 6 1 4636 N 20 79297 G 09/23-08 85 60 38 73 N 6 1 5400 N 20 90682 G 09/23-09 85 60 40 69 N 6 6 2 1 NE38 6165 N 20 102067 V 09/23-10 85 60 43 65 N 6 1 6412 N 18 100647 V 09/23-11 85 60 44 65 NE 5 1 6658 N 17 99227 G 09/23-12 88 60 45 64 NE 3 3 2 1 NE21 6905 N 16 97807 G 09/23-13 88 60 45 64 NE 3 1 7145 N 17 107041 V 09/23-14 88 60 46 64 NE 3 1 7386 N 18 116274 V 09/23-15 88 60 46 64 NE 5 5 2 1 N20 7627 N 18 125508 V 09/23-16 88 60 46 65 E 3 1 7197 N 18 118122 V 09/23-17 88 60 45 67 E 3 1 6768 N 18 110736 V 09/23-18 75 32 44 67 E 3 3 2 1 N21 6338 N 18 103350 V 09/23-19 75 32 42 72 E 2 1 5476 N 17 86199 G 09/23-20 75 32 40 74 N 2 1 4614 N 17 69048 G 09/23-21 75 32 39 74 N 3 3 2 1 NE24 3753 N 16 51897 F 09/23-22 75 32 38 74 NW 5 1 2753 N 14 36424 P 09/23-23 75 32 37 73 NW 7 1 1753 N 10 20950 P 09/24-00 75 25 36 74 W 8 8 2 1 NE23 753 NW 8 5477 P 09/24-01 75 25 35 76 W 9 1 604 NW 9 4570 P 09/24-02 75 25 35 78 W 10 1 455 NW 9 3663 P 09/24-03 75 25 34 80 W 12 12 2 1 N29 306 NW 10 2756 P 09/24-04 75 25 34 83 W 12 1 308 NW 10 2654 P 09/24-05 75 25 33 85 W 10 1 310 NW 9 2552 P 09/24-06 79 30 33 88 W 10 10 2 1 N41 312 NW 9 2449 P 09/24-07 79 30 34 89 W 10 1 1480 NW 15 29574 P 09/24-08 79 30 38 80 W 9 1 2649 N 20 56698 F 09/24-09 79 30 42 71 W 9 9 2 1 N28 3817 N 25 83823 G 09/24-10 79 30 46 64 NW 8 1 5010 N 25 111960 V 09/24-11 79 30 48 63 NW 7 1 6202 N 25 140096 V 09/24-12 79 30 50 61 N 6 6 2 1 N39 7395 N 26 168233 E 09/24-13 79 30 51 60 N 6 1 7525 N 26 176385 E 09/24-14 79 30 52 60 N 7 1 7656 N 28 184538 E 09/24-15 79 30 52 59 N 7 7 2 1 N33 7786 N 29 192690 E 09/24-16 79 30 52 60 N 6 1 7174 N 26 169187 E 09/24-17 79 30 51 63 NE 3 1 6562 N 25 145684 V 09/24-18 69 23 50 64 NE 2 2 2 1 N41 5950 N 24 122180 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...RENEE CREEK REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090922.REYNO.01/BOU