FNUS75 KBOU 220043 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGARLOAF F 1110C 109...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 639 PM MDT MON SEP 21 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DRIFT INTO WESTERN KANSAS ON TUESDAY. AS THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMES UNSTABLE AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON... EXPECT SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO DEVELOP. ANY RESIDUAL SNOWFALL FROM TODAY AND LEFT ON THE BURN AREA SHOULD BE LESS THAN AN INCH...AND MAINLY IN SHELTERED LOCATIONS. ANY ADDITIONAL ACCUMLATIONS ON TUESDAY WILL BE AN INCH OR LESS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....28. MAX HUMIDITY........85-90%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 4-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 1800-2800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS...MAINLY AFTER 1100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....40. MIN HUMIDITY........58-64%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 6000-7000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR. VERY GOOD AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....34. MAX HUMIDITY........76%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 8-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5600 FT AGL UNTIL 2400...THEN 4000-4200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....45. MIN HUMIDITY........64%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6600-7600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 70. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SUGARLOAF F 1110C 109. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/21-16 87 52 40 69 N 12 1 5971 N 20 101876 V 09/21-17 87 52 39 70 N 13 1 5406 N 17 82032 G 09/21-18 82 30 38 72 N 13 13 3 1 NW20 4841 N 15 62189 G 09/21-19 82 30 37 73 N 12 1 4042 N 13 48348 F 09/21-20 82 30 35 75 NW 9 1 3243 NW 12 34507 P 09/21-21 79 30 34 76 W 7 7 2 1 NW17 2444 NW 9 20666 P 09/21-22 79 30 34 75 W 7 1 2168 NW 9 17854 P 09/21-23 79 30 33 74 W 7 1 1892 NW 9 15042 P 09/22-00 76 22 33 74 W 8 8 2 1 NW20 1616 NW 9 12230 P 09/22-01 76 22 32 74 W 8 1 1727 NW 8 12745 P 09/22-02 76 22 32 75 W 8 1 1837 NW 8 13260 P 09/22-03 76 22 32 76 W 8 8 2 1 N25 1948 NW 8 13776 P 09/22-04 76 22 31 77 W 8 1 1923 NW 9 15820 P 09/22-05 76 22 31 78 W 8 1 1899 NW 10 17865 P 09/22-06 81 40 31 79 W 8 8 2 1 N35 1875 NW 13 19909 P 09/22-07 81 40 32 75 W 9 1 3168 NW 15 47992 F 09/22-08 81 40 34 67 NW 9 1 4461 N 18 76075 G 09/22-09 81 40 37 61 N 8 8 2 1 N36 5754 N 21 104158 V 09/22-10 81 40 40 58 N 8 1 6166 N 22 119175 V 09/22-11 81 40 41 60 N 8 1 6578 N 23 134191 V 09/22-12 78 40 42 62 N 8 8 2 1 N32 6989 N 24 149208 V 09/22-13 78 40 43 63 N 10 1 6914 N 23 137387 V 09/22-14 78 40 43 63 N 12 1 6838 NW 21 125567 V 09/22-15 78 40 44 62 N 13 13 2 1 N38 6763 NW 20 113746 V 09/22-16 78 40 43 63 N 12 1 6461 N 22 119286 V 09/22-17 78 40 43 64 N 9 1 6158 N 23 124826 V 09/22-18 84 50 43 64 N 7 7 2 1 N39 5856 N 25 130367 V 09/22-19 84 50 41 65 N 6 1 5505 N 24 118613 V 09/22-20 84 50 40 66 NW 5 1 5153 N 24 106860 V 09/22-21 84 50 39 66 NW 5 5 2 1 N38 4802 N 23 95107 G 09/22-22 84 50 38 66 NW 5 1 4558 N 23 90729 G 09/22-23 84 50 37 66 NW 6 1 4314 N 23 86351 G 09/23-00 88 54 36 67 NW 7 7 2 1 N35 4069 N 23 81973 G 09/23-01 88 54 36 68 NW 7 1 4091 N 22 78332 G 09/23-02 88 54 35 69 NW 7 1 4112 N 21 74692 G 09/23-03 88 54 35 71 NW 6 6 2 1 N37 4133 N 20 71051 G 09/23-04 88 54 35 72 NW 6 1 4170 N 20 71684 G 09/23-05 88 54 34 74 N 6 1 4206 N 20 72317 G 09/23-06 84 60 34 76 N 7 7 2 1 N38 4242 N 20 72950 G 09/23-07 84 60 35 76 N 7 1 4713 N 20 77820 G 09/23-08 84 60 37 73 N 7 1 5183 N 18 82689 G 09/23-09 84 60 39 69 N 6 6 2 1 NE40 5654 N 17 87559 G 09/23-10 84 60 41 66 N 6 1 6073 N 17 89855 G 09/23-11 84 60 42 65 NE 5 1 6493 N 16 92151 G 09/23-12 88 60 43 64 NE 3 3 2 1 NE22 6913 N 16 94447 G 09/23-13 88 60 44 64 NE 5 1 7176 N 16 103188 V 09/23-14 88 60 44 65 NE 5 1 7439 N 17 111928 V 09/23-15 88 60 45 65 NE 5 5 2 1 N20 7701 N 18 120669 V 09/23-16 88 60 44 66 E 3 1 7246 N 18 114055 V 09/23-17 88 60 43 68 E 3 1 6791 N 18 107441 V 09/23-18 74 30 43 68 E 2 2 2 1 NE21 6335 N 18 100826 V 09/23-19 74 30 41 72 NE 2 1 5772 N 17 89095 G 09/23-20 74 30 39 74 N 2 1 5209 N 17 77363 G 09/23-21 74 30 38 73 N 3 3 2 1 NE25 4647 N 16 65631 G 09/23-22 74 30 37 73 N 5 1 4036 N 15 55004 F 09/23-23 74 30 36 72 NW 6 1 3426 N 15 44377 F 09/24-00 74 25 35 73 W 7 7 2 1 NE25 2815 N 14 33750 P 09/24-01 74 25 34 75 W 8 1 2167 N 13 25509 P 09/24-02 74 25 34 77 W 9 1 1519 NW 13 17268 P 09/24-03 74 25 33 80 W 10 10 2 1 N30 870 NW 12 9028 P 09/24-04 74 25 33 83 W 10 1 861 NW 12 8641 P 09/24-05 74 25 33 86 W 10 1 852 NW 12 8255 P 09/24-06 77 30 32 89 W 10 10 2 1 N41 844 NW 10 7868 P 09/24-07 77 30 33 89 W 10 1 2168 NW 16 42257 F 09/24-08 77 30 37 81 W 9 1 3492 N 21 76646 G 09/24-09 77 30 41 72 W 9 9 2 1 N32 4817 N 26 111034 V 09/24-10 77 30 45 65 NW 8 1 5623 N 26 128928 V 09/24-11 77 30 46 64 NW 7 1 6429 N 26 146821 V 09/24-12 77 30 48 61 N 6 6 2 1 N40 7236 N 26 164714 E 09/24-13 77 30 49 61 N 6 1 7374 N 26 173181 E 09/24-14 77 30 50 60 N 7 1 7512 N 28 181648 E 09/24-15 77 30 50 60 N 7 7 2 1 N38 7650 N 29 190114 E 09/24-16 77 30 50 61 N 6 1 7007 N 28 166845 E 09/24-17 77 30 49 64 NE 3 1 6365 N 25 143576 V 09/24-18 70 23 48 66 NE 2 2 2 1 N41 5722 N 24 120307 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...ED LEBLANC REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090922.SUGAR.02/BOU