FNUS75 KBOU 230006 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGARLOAF F 1110C 109...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 606 PM MDT TUE SEP 22 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MOIST AND COLD UPPER LOW SYSTEM OVER EASTERN COLORADO WILL STREAM MOISTURE OVER THE BURN AREA AT LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WITH SO MUCH MOISTURE AND COLD TEMPERATURES...A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR HEAVY SNOW OVER THE AREA THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY. EXPECT MAINLY NORTHERLY WINDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A FOOT POSSIBLE. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 2400...THEN SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES. MIN TEMPERATURE.....32. MAX HUMIDITY........88%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 6-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN NORTHWEST 8-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL UNTIL 2400...THEN 600-1400 FT AGL UNTIL 0500...THEN 2200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 2100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2200...THEN POOR UNTIL 0500...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW. NEW SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES. MAX TEMPERATURE.....40. MIN HUMIDITY........78%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 8-13 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....30. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 9-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 200-800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....46. MIN HUMIDITY........68%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN NORTHEAST 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SUGARLOAF F 1110C 109. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/22-17 98 77 36 85 N 13 1 2277 NW 22 39353 P 09/22-18 92 70 36 83 N 12 12 2 1 NE32 1354 NW 24 28111 P 09/22-19 92 70 35 81 N 10 1 1706 NW 24 35654 P 09/22-20 92 70 35 80 N 9 1 2058 N 24 43197 F 09/22-21 92 70 35 78 NW 8 8 2 1 N52 2410 N 24 50741 F 09/22-22 92 70 34 76 NW 7 1 1806 N 23 37302 P 09/22-23 92 70 34 75 NW 6 1 1201 N 22 23863 P 09/23-00 92 83 34 74 NW 6 6 2 1 NE46 596 N 20 10425 P 09/23-01 92 83 34 74 NW 6 1 610 N 20 10650 P 09/23-02 92 83 34 74 NW 7 1 624 N 20 10874 P 09/23-03 92 83 33 75 NW 7 7 2 1 NE49 638 N 20 11099 P 09/23-04 92 83 33 76 NW 8 1 1380 N 23 32060 P 09/23-05 92 83 33 77 NW 9 1 2122 N 26 53022 F 09/23-06 98 83 33 82 N 10 10 2 1 NE55 2864 N 30 73984 G 09/23-07 98 83 33 83 N 12 1 2772 N 31 74621 G 09/23-08 98 83 33 87 N 12 1 2679 N 32 75259 G 09/23-09 98 83 34 86 N 12 12 2 1 NE47 2587 N 33 75897 G 09/23-10 98 83 36 84 N 10 1 2748 N 33 78232 G 09/23-11 98 83 36 87 N 9 1 2909 N 32 80567 G 09/23-12 93 83 36 92 N 8 8 2 1 NE47 3070 N 31 82903 G 09/23-13 93 83 36 94 N 7 1 3204 N 29 81256 G 09/23-14 93 83 38 89 N 7 1 3338 N 28 79609 G 09/23-15 93 83 38 90 N 6 6 2 1 NE44 3472 N 25 77962 G 09/23-16 93 83 40 84 N 5 1 3172 N 24 66944 G 09/23-17 93 83 40 84 N 2 1 2872 N 22 55925 F 09/23-18 69 54 36 88 NW 5 5 2 1 NE40 2572 N 20 44906 F 09/23-19 69 54 35 91 NW 3 1 1458 N 14 19803 P 09/23-20 69 54 34 91 NW 3 1 862 N 10 10845 P 09/23-21 69 54 33 90 NW 3 3 2 1 NE45 267 N 8 1886 P 09/23-22 69 54 32 88 NW 5 1 257 N 8 1890 P 09/23-23 69 54 32 86 W 7 1 246 NW 9 1894 P 09/24-00 69 54 31 85 W 9 9 2 1 NE37 236 NW 9 1897 P 09/24-01 69 54 31 86 W 10 1 234 NW 9 1911 P 09/24-02 69 54 30 89 W 12 1 232 NW 9 1925 P 09/24-03 69 54 30 90 W 12 12 2 1 N40 230 NW 9 1940 P 09/24-04 69 54 30 92 W 10 1 230 NW 9 1859 P 09/24-05 69 54 30 95 W 9 1 230 NW 9 1779 P 09/24-06 77 30 30 99 W 8 8 2 1 N41 229 NW 8 1699 P 09/24-07 77 30 30 100 NW 7 1 1114 NW 10 14129 P 09/24-08 77 30 33 94 N 6 1 1999 N 13 26560 P 09/24-09 77 30 36 86 N 6 6 2 1 NE37 2883 N 16 38990 P 09/24-10 77 30 40 76 N 7 1 3616 N 16 50329 F 09/24-11 77 30 43 72 NE 8 1 4348 N 16 61669 G 09/24-12 77 38 43 73 NE 9 9 2 1 N33 5081 N 16 73008 G 09/24-13 77 38 46 68 NE 9 1 5135 N 16 69508 G 09/24-14 77 38 46 68 NE 9 1 5190 N 15 66007 G 09/24-15 77 38 46 70 NE 8 8 2 1 N25 5245 N 14 62507 G 09/24-16 77 38 44 76 NE 7 1 4514 N 13 49792 F 09/24-17 77 38 43 79 NE 7 1 3784 N 10 37077 P 09/24-18 61 24 42 83 NE 6 6 2 1 N22 3054 N 9 24362 P 09/24-19 61 24 40 84 NE 6 1 2190 N 8 17171 P 09/24-20 61 24 38 82 N 6 1 1325 N 8 9980 P 09/24-21 61 24 37 81 N 6 6 2 1 N26 461 N 7 2790 P 09/24-22 61 24 36 78 NW 7 1 400 NW 7 2500 P 09/24-23 61 24 36 74 W 7 1 340 W 8 2210 P 09/25-00 61 24 35 70 W 8 8 2 1 N26 279 W 8 1920 P 09/25-01 61 24 35 69 W 9 1 260 W 9 1960 P 09/25-02 61 24 34 70 W 10 1 242 W 9 2001 P 09/25-03 61 24 34 69 W 12 12 2 1 N25 223 W 10 2041 P 09/25-04 61 24 33 69 W 13 1 231 W 10 2181 P 09/25-05 61 24 33 70 W 13 1 238 W 12 2321 P 09/25-06 41 10 33 73 W 13 13 2 1 N39 246 W 12 2462 P 09/25-07 41 10 33 77 W 12 1 895 W 13 10741 P 09/25-08 41 10 37 73 W 9 1 1543 NW 14 19020 P 09/25-09 41 10 41 67 W 8 8 2 1 N48 2192 NW 14 27300 P 09/25-10 41 10 46 60 W 8 1 3234 NW 17 53695 F 09/25-11 41 10 49 56 NW 8 1 4276 NW 21 80091 G 09/25-12 41 10 49 55 NW 8 8 2 N45 5318 NW 23 106487 V 09/25-13 41 10 52 44 NW 8 5055 NW 22 96471 G 09/25-14 41 10 53 39 N 7 4792 NW 21 86455 G 09/25-15 41 10 52 37 N 7 7 2 NW40 4530 NW 20 76439 G 09/25-16 41 10 50 41 N 6 3116 NW 16 51711 F 09/25-17 41 10 49 43 NW 5 1702 NW 13 26983 P 09/25-18 33 10 47 49 NW 5 5 3 NW36 289 NW 9 2256 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ED LEBLANC REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090923.SUGAR.01/BOU