FNUS75 KRIW 241019
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR CROOKED CREEK RX...BLM WOD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
419 AM MDT THU SEP 24 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. A
WEAK DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE AREA LATE
FRIDAY...BUT ONLY SOME CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS FEATURE.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BE TERRAIN DRIVEN TODAY AND
FRIDAY. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL ALSO BE WEAK...WITH SMOKE DISPERSAL
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE FAIR CATEGORY TODAY AND THE LOW END OF GOOD
CATEGORY ON FRIDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MURRELL

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-8 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT IN THE MORNING...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO
                    10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR (52700
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH...MAINLY EASTERLY.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHEAST TO EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL AFTER
                    2000.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST TO EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2000-21000 KNOT-FT).

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-22 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT NORTH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (63000
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...MURRELL
REQUESTED BY...ANDY ROTHLEUTNER
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090924.CROOK.01/RIW