FNUS72 KTAE 241149
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 16...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
749 AM EDT THU SEP 24 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.AT (850)942-8835

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE SOUTHEAST
REGION. LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW UNDER THIS RIDGE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY TO YIELD JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE TO REMOVE ANY FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS. DURING THE WEEKEND...THE RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN
WHILE THE FLOW SHIFTS TO THE SOUTH AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT.
THIS WILL INCREASE THE MOISTURE AND LIKELY...THE RAIN CHANCES AS WELL.
THERE ALSO SHOULD BE NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS INTO THIS WEEKEND.
THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE FORECAST
INTO MONDAY. IN ITS WAKE...A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS IS EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...RED FLAG CONCERNS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL THIS MORNING...INCREASING TO
                    3700 FT AGL THIS AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION..........36.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS
TEMP............76     83     86     87     86     83
RH..............90     77     68     65     68     76
20 FT WIND......NE 4   E 6    E 6    E 6    E 5    E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     5

$$

FORECASTER...BARRY
REQUESTED BY...DAVID QUISENBERRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090924.BURNU.01/TAE