FNUS75 KMSO 262055
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE MEDICINE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
255 PM MDT SAT SEP 26 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1450 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...A DRY COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY JUST NORTH OF THE
FIRE. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER THE UNIT BY 1600 PDT.
BEHIND THE FRONT...INCREASED WEST WINDS WILL MIX TO THE UNIT AND
GIVEN THE SOUTHWEST ASPECT OF THE FIRE...SHOULD FEEL FULL EFFECT
OF THE WINDS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL WEAKEN THIS EVENING...AND
SHOULD ALLOW THE WINDS TO DECOUPLE AFTER SUNSET. ANOTHER THERMAL
BELT MAY DEVELOP...WHICH MAY ENVELOP THE THE LOWER PORTION OF THE
FIRE. RIDGING WILL BUILD BACK OVER THE FIRE SUNDAY TURNING THE
WINDS MORE NORTHWEST AND DECREASING IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 2-5 MPH BECOMING WEST 10-15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51 BASE...38-43 TOP.
MAX HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT BASE...78-83 PERCENT TOP.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 2-5 MPH.
                    WINDS IN THE THERMAL BELT...WEST 5-8 MPH.


.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 6
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MEAD
REQUESTED BY...JOSLYN OSBORN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090926.LITTL.01/MSO