FNUS72 KJAX 272305
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST TOWER FIRE...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
705 PM EDT SUN SEP 27 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1855 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRIER AIR WILL WORK ITS WAY INTO THE AREA BEGINNING
THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL STILL REACH THE 90S ON MONDAY WHICH
WHEN COMBINED WITH THE DRIER AIR WILL RESULT IN MARGINAL RH VALUES
DURING THE AFTERNOON. SHOULD WINDS INCREASE HIGHER THAN EXPECTED
MONDAY AFTERNOON...A SHORT TERM RED FLAG WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED
FOR THE FLORIDA PORTION.

MORE SUBSTANTIAL DRY AIR WILL WORK IN BEHIND A SECONDARY COLD
FRONT ON TUESDAY...REQUIRING A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
THE SUWANNEE VALLEY. THIS MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED DEPENDING ON HOW
STRONG WINDS WILL BECOME IN TANDEM WITH THE LOW RH VALUES.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....66.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL EARLY DECREASING TO 300-1400 FT
                    BY MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 6 TO 10 MPH DECREASING TO NEAR 3 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........42     39     39     25     11     11
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............83     76     73     71     70     68
RH..............67     77     82     85     87     90
20 FT WIND......W 12   W 9    SW 5   W 2    W 2    W 1
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4200   1400   1400   800    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 15  NW 9   W 9    W 6    W 3    W 3
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....91.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL EARLY INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 4 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....74.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........11     11     11     9      8      8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............67     67     79     87     90     89
RH..............91     89     59     44     39     40
20 FT WIND......W 1    SW 1   W 7    W 10   W 12   W 13
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     15     20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....500    1400   1400   3400   5400   5400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 3    W 7    W 7    W 13   W 17   W 17
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...SANDRIK
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN GRODI
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090927.EASTT.01/JAX