FNUS75 KMSO 271536
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR NINKO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
936 AM MDT SUN SEP 27 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0903 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...UPPER JET IS PUSHING OFF TO THE EAST THIS MORNING AS
UPPER RIDGE BUILDS BACK OVER THE DISTRICT. A COOLER AIRMASS BEHIND
SATURDAYS COLD FRONT WILL COOL TEMPERATURES ABOUT 10 DEGREES FROM
YESTERDAY...BUT DRY AIR HAS REMAINED IN PLACE SO MINIMUM
HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN LOW. WITH THE WEST TO EAST ORIENTED
RIDGE...ONLY THE TOP OF THE UNIT WILL SEE WINDS TODAY. THE BASE IS
EXPECTED TO BE UPSLOPE BY AFTERNOON. TONIGHT INVERSIONS WILL ONCE
AGAIN DEVELOP...AND A LIGHT EAST SURFACE WIND WILL DEVELOP WHICH
MAY TRAP SMOKE IN THE VALLEY ADJACENT TO THE FIRE. THE FIRE IS
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE THERMAL BELT OVERNIGHT FOR MILD OVERNIGHT
READINGS AND POOR RECOVERIES. THE RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EAST
MONDAY IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING PACIFIC WEATHER SYSTEM. HIGH
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL STREAM INTO THE REGION IN THE FORM OF CIRRUS
CLOUDS BY AFTERNOON. WITH BETTER MIXING...TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO
EXPECTED TO WARM BACK ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS...WITH INCREASING
SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57 BASE...48-53 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BASE...WINDS CALM BECOMING UPSLOPE TO 5 MPH
                    AFTER 1200 MDT.
                    TOP...LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 9-11 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
MAX HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WIND AROUND 6 MPH BECOMING EAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY IN THE MORNING...INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62 BASE...53-58 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    6-11 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...MEAD
REQUESTED BY...BORGEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090927.NINKO.01/MSO