FNUS75 KRIW 291219
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR CROOKED CREEK RX...BLM WOD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
619 AM MDT TUE SEP 29 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2230 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM WILL CREATE INCREASING
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH CONSIDERABLE HIGH
CLOUDS. A COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT THE WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND
NOON ON WEDNESDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN MUCH COLDER CONDITIONS
AND PERIODS OF SHOWERS.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...SKRBAC

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-13 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...INCREASING TO 20-25 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 22 TO 28 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (32000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (255000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-48 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 20 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 23 TO 29 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (59800-78100 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-55.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND NOON WITH GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AT 20-28 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.70 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 22 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD...INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    (60000-135000 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...COLDER. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN
SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.
.THURSDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 14 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...SKRBAC
REQUESTED BY...JIM WOLF
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090928.CROOK.02/RIW