FNUS75 KRIW 292354 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR CROOKED CREEK RX...IA CDC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 554 PM MDT TUE SEP 29 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1655 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WARM SOUTHERLY FLOW WITH INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS WILL PRECEDE A STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING. MOST SURROUNDING OBSERVATIONS WERE REPORTING SOUTH SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH AT 1700. THESE WINDS MAY STILL MIX OUT THROUGH THE BURN AREA THROUGH SUNSET WITH WINDS REMAINING LIGHT SOUTHERLY OVERNIGHT. EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG AND BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY OCCUR IN THE MORNING WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES IN THE AFTERNOON. STEADY PRECIPITATION WITH RAIN CHANGING OVER TO SNOW WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING. THE CHANGEOVER EXPECTED AROUND 1800 WEDNESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...MEUNIER .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-54. MAX HUMIDITY........33-36 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 20 MPH THROUGH SUNSET...THEN SOUTH SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 22 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (56400-91700 KNOT-FT). .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-58 AROUND 1000 WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES...INTO THE 40S IN THE AFTERNOON. MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 30 PERCENT IN THE MORNING WITH RISING HUMIDITY IN THE AFTERNOON...WETTING RAIN LIKELY AFTER 1500 WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY GREATER THAN 80 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON BECOMING VARIABLE 5-9 MPH WITH POSSIBLE GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN NORTH NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH TOWARD EVENING. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.85 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (52200-75100 KNOT-FT). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...COLDER. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .THURSDAY...COLDER. PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...MEUNIER REQUESTED BY...CODY DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090929.CROOK.01/RIW