FNUS75 KBOU 010141 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GRANITE RIDGE FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 741 PM MDT WED SEP 30 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ..DISCUSSION...THERE IS A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT HOWEVER ANY RAINFALL WILL BE VERY LIGHT. WINDS SHOULD BE WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 25 TO 35 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 50 MPH AT TIMES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....35. MAX HUMIDITY........56%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......VERY WINDY. WEST 25-35 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTHWEST 25-35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 36-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3800 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 2000-2800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0300...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....53. MIN HUMIDITY........28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. NORTHWEST 24-36 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 33-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 11000-12000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....31. MAX HUMIDITY........65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. NORTHWEST 25-35 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 21-27 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 32-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 1000-2000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....58. MIN HUMIDITY........24%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. NORTHWEST 17-27 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 32-36 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 7200-8200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0800...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GRANITE RIDGE FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/30-19 80 20 57 31 W 35 3 3891 W 41 140033 V 09/30-20 80 20 53 37 W 38 3 2931 W 40 103206 V 09/30-21 80 20 50 40 W 38 53 3 3 SW49 1971 W 39 66379 G 09/30-22 80 20 48 44 W 36 3 2065 W 39 70281 G 09/30-23 80 20 46 46 W 32 3 2158 W 39 74184 G 10/01-00 73 20 43 50 W 29 40 2 1 W41 2251 W 40 78087 G 10/01-01 73 20 41 52 NW 29 1 2445 W 41 89712 G 10/01-02 73 20 40 54 NW 29 1 2639 W 44 101337 V 10/01-03 73 20 38 56 NW 30 41 3 1 W25 2833 NW 46 112962 V 10/01-04 73 20 37 56 NW 30 1 2793 NW 45 108244 V 10/01-05 73 20 37 56 NW 29 1 2754 NW 44 103527 V 10/01-06 72 20 36 56 W 28 39 3 1 NW32 2715 NW 41 98810 G 10/01-07 72 20 38 53 NW 28 1 4073 NW 40 138769 V 10/01-08 72 20 40 52 NW 26 1 5431 NW 39 178727 E 10/01-09 72 20 44 46 NW 26 37 2 1 NW38 6790 NW 37 218686 E 10/01-10 72 20 47 39 NW 28 1 8139 NW 37 263602 E 10/01-11 72 20 49 36 NW 28 1 9487 NW 37 308517 E 10/01-12 62 10 51 33 NW 29 40 2 1 NW39 10836 NW 38 353433 E 10/01-13 62 10 52 31 NW 29 1 11194 NW 37 353222 E 10/01-14 62 10 52 30 NW 30 1 11553 NW 36 353012 E 10/01-15 62 10 53 29 W 30 41 3 1 NW36 11911 NW 35 352801 E 10/01-16 62 10 52 28 NW 31 1 11389 NW 36 352603 E 10/01-17 62 10 51 29 NW 31 1 10866 NW 38 352406 E 10/01-18 39 0 50 29 NW 32 45 3 1 W33 10344 NW 39 352208 E 10/01-19 39 0 46 34 NW 30 1 8746 NW 39 299643 E 10/01-20 39 0 42 39 NW 28 1 7083 NW 40 245078 E 10/01-21 39 0 41 43 NW 25 36 2 1 N24 5419 NW 40 190513 E 10/01-22 39 0 39 48 NW 24 1 4096 NW 38 141554 V 10/01-23 39 0 38 53 NW 23 1 2772 NW 37 92594 G 10/02-00 39 0 36 58 NW 23 32 2 1 NW26 1449 W 35 43635 F 10/02-01 39 0 35 62 NW 23 1 1255 W 35 37559 P 10/02-02 39 0 34 64 NW 23 1 1061 W 35 31482 P 10/02-03 15 0 33 65 NW 23 32 2 1 NW52 868 W 33 25406 P 10/02-04 15 0 32 65 W 24 1 794 W 35 23706 P 10/02-05 15 0 32 64 W 24 1 721 W 36 22007 P 10/02-06 15 0 32 64 W 24 33 3 1 NW52 648 W 36 20308 P 10/02-07 15 0 33 61 W 24 1 1392 W 37 44194 F 10/02-08 15 0 38 52 W 23 1 2136 NW 37 68080 G 10/02-09 15 0 44 42 W 22 31 3 1 NW48 2880 NW 37 91966 G 10/02-10 15 0 50 33 W 21 1 4386 NW 35 128956 V 10/02-11 15 0 52 30 W 20 1 5893 NW 33 165946 E 10/02-12 15 0 55 27 NW 18 25 3 1 NW48 7399 NW 31 202936 E 10/02-13 15 0 56 26 NW 18 1 7791 NW 30 198286 E 10/02-14 15 0 57 25 NW 17 1 8183 NW 28 193636 E 10/02-15 15 0 58 24 NW 17 24 2 1 NW41 8575 NW 25 188987 E 10/02-16 15 0 57 25 NW 16 1 7549 NW 23 156863 E 10/02-17 15 0 56 27 NW 14 1 6522 NW 22 124739 V 10/02-18 15 0 54 28 NW 13 17 3 1 NW37 5496 NW 20 92616 G 10/02-19 15 0 50 39 NW 12 1 3808 W 16 63149 G 10/02-20 15 0 46 46 W 12 1 2120 W 14 33682 P 10/02-21 15 0 44 51 W 10 10 4 1 NW33 432 W 12 4215 P 10/02-22 15 0 43 55 W 10 1 409 W 10 3677 P 10/02-23 15 0 41 57 SW 10 1 387 SW 9 3139 P 10/03-00 15 0 39 62 SW 10 10 4 1 NW28 364 SW 8 2601 P 10/03-01 15 0 38 63 SW 10 1 333 SW 8 2221 P 10/03-02 15 0 37 64 S 9 1 301 SW 7 1841 P 10/03-03 15 0 36 64 S 9 9 5 1 W26 270 SW 6 1462 P 10/03-04 15 0 35 64 S 8 1 252 SW 6 1275 P 10/03-05 15 0 35 63 SW 8 1 234 SW 6 1089 P 10/03-06 39 0 34 62 SW 7 7 5 1 W29 217 SW 5 902 P 10/03-07 39 0 36 60 S 6 1 796 SW 5 3023 P 10/03-08 39 0 41 51 S 3 1 1376 SW 5 5143 P 10/03-09 39 0 47 42 S 2 2 4 1 W28 1956 SW 5 7264 P 10/03-10 39 0 53 34 SE 3 1 2913 SW 6 16586 P 10/03-11 39 0 56 31 SE 5 1 3871 W 7 25909 P 10/03-12 58 0 59 29 SE 6 6 4 1 W26 4828 W 8 35231 P 10/03-13 58 0 60 27 SE 7 1 4919 W 7 31579 P 10/03-14 58 0 61 26 SE 8 1 5009 SW 7 27927 P 10/03-15 58 0 62 25 SE 9 9 4 1 W26 5100 S 6 24275 P 10/03-16 58 0 61 25 SE 9 1 4897 S 7 29225 P 10/03-17 58 0 59 27 SE 9 1 4694 S 8 34175 P 10/03-18 58 0 58 28 SE 9 9 3 1 SW22 4491 S 10 39126 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...INCIDENT COMMANDER REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090930.GRANI.01/BOU