FNUS75 KGJT 300657
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DAVENPORT PILES...ASHLEY NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1257 AM MDT WED SEP 30 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DIFFICULT WEATHER SCENARIO TODAY AS AN INITIAL COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A SECOND ONE WITH
COLDER AIR AND A MORE PRONOUNCED WIND SHIFT LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
UPPER DISTURBANCES WITH THE FRONTS AND INSTABILITY WILL KEEP
SHOWERS AROUND MUCH OF THE DAY...AND WINDY CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES
MAY NOT RISE MUCH THAN TEN DEGREES THROUGH THE DAY. NORTHWEST FLOW
SHOULD PREVAIL TONIGHT WITH MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES AND SOME SNOW POSSIBLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH BECOMING WEST BY
                    1000...THEN SHIFTING BACK TO SOUTHWEST BY 1200.
                    GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. WIND SHIFTING BACK TO THE
                    WEST-NORTHWEST AFTER 1500. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CLEARING INDEX......600 INCREASING TO 1000+ BY 1100.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 41 MPH BECOMING WEST AFTER 1600.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS DEETS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090930.DAVEN.01/GJT