FNUS74 KLZK 301015
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMP ROBINSON  2...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
515 AM CDT WED SEP 30 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN RESPONSIBLE FOR THE FALL
LIKE WEATHER OF LATE...IS LOCATED JUST TO THE EAST OF THE STATE THIS
MORNING. IT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD WITH WINDS SLOWLY
SHIFTING BACK TO THE SOUTH AS THE DAY PROGRESSES BUT THE OVERALL
FLOW BOTH ALOFT AND ON THE SURFACE WILL REMAIN LIGHT. THE HIGH WILL
PROVIDE ONE MORE DAY OF DRY CONDITIONS WITH AFTERNOON HUMIDITY
DROPPING DOWN INTO THE 30TH PERCENTILE. MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY TONIGHT AS A STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS. THE LOW WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA WITH
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. SOME
OF THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE STRONG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL AS THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH. MOISTURE WRAPPING AROUND THE LOW WILL EFFECT THE
NORTH ON FRIDAY WITH A DRY WEEKEND EXPECTED. MORE RAIN IS EXPECTED
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 79.
RH..................50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 1 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 13 MPH
                       LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4000 FT MSL.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
TEMP............67  71  74  75  77  77  76
RH..............50  45  41  40  39  40  42
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   3   3   3   3   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.3   3   3   3   3   3   3
MIX HGT (KFT)...4000 FT
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   8   8   9   10  12  13

$$
FORECASTER...J GOUDSWARD
REQUESTED BY...BEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090930.CAMPR.02/LZK