FNUS75 KRIW 292310
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR MUDDY MOUNTAIN PILES RX...IA CDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
510 PM MDT TUE SEP 29 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL WYOMING
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  SOUTHWEST WIND AT 25 TO 35 MPH WILL
PRECEDE THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY MORNING.  THE ATMOSPHERE
WILL DESTABILIZE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON. SOME HAIL IS LIKELY
WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS. A SECOND MUCH COLDER FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE
AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING WITH A SHARP WIND SHIFT FROM THE NORTH
WITH WIDESPREAD RAIN FOLLOWING THE FRONT...CHANGING OVER TO SNOW
AROUND MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MEUNIER

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-53 BY NOON THEN STEADY OR FALLING TEMPERATURES
                    THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-28 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 19 TO 26 MPH. GUSTS UP
                    TO 45 MPH DECREASING TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 35 TO 40 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 30
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 38 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (80100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (198200 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE EVENING...THEN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 18 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...MEUNIER
REQUESTED BY...BURN BOSS
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090930.MUDDY.01/RIW