FNUS75 KBOU 302210 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GORE PASS ADMIN ...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 409 PM MDT WED SEP 30 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND EAST OF THE AREA ON THURSDAY. MOISTURE IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PRODUCE OROGRAPHIC SNOWS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY WITH 4-8 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF BY LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW UNTIL 1200. SNOW UNTIL 1200...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....38. MIN HUMIDITY........48%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 8000-9000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 0900. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0300. MIN TEMPERATURE.....18. MAX HUMIDITY........88%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 8-13 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17-28 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-7200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 400-800 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....44. MIN HUMIDITY........32%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .MONDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1800. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GORE PASS ADMIN . +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/30-16 91 60 53 35 SW 26 5 8331 SW 45 322155 E 09/30-17 91 60 52 36 SW 28 5 8897 SW 41 318623 E 09/30-18 98 60 50 41 NW 21 33 2 3 SW75 9463 SW 38 315091 E 09/30-19 98 60 44 48 NW 15 3 8213 W 35 254918 E 09/30-20 98 60 40 55 NW 12 3 6962 W 31 194745 E 09/30-21 98 60 37 58 NW 8 8 2 1 SW68 5711 W 28 134572 V 09/30-22 98 60 35 62 NW 7 1 5101 W 24 111077 V 09/30-23 98 60 33 64 NW 7 1 4491 W 22 87582 G 10/01-00 100 80 31 69 W 8 8 2 1 W48 3880 W 20 64087 G 10/01-01 100 80 29 74 W 10 1 3843 W 23 74959 G 10/01-02 100 80 28 80 W 13 1 3805 W 26 85831 G 10/01-03 100 80 26 84 W 14 22 2 1 W40 3768 W 30 96703 G 10/01-04 100 80 26 83 W 14 1 3511 W 30 91027 G 10/01-05 100 80 25 81 W 12 1 3254 W 30 85350 G 10/01-06 100 80 25 80 W 8 8 2 1 NW32 2996 W 31 79674 G 10/01-07 100 80 26 75 W 13 1 4250 NW 29 105249 V 10/01-08 100 80 27 75 W 14 1 5504 NW 28 130825 V 10/01-09 100 80 30 67 W 14 22 2 1 NW29 6758 NW 26 156401 E 10/01-10 100 80 33 60 W 14 1 7526 NW 24 158038 E 10/01-11 100 80 35 57 W 13 1 8293 NW 23 159676 E 10/01-12 76 60 36 54 W 13 13 2 1 NW31 9061 NW 21 161313 E 10/01-13 76 60 37 52 W 13 1 8995 NW 22 169543 E 10/01-14 76 60 37 50 W 14 1 8930 W 23 177773 E 10/01-15 76 60 38 48 W 14 22 2 1 W41 8865 W 24 186003 E 10/01-16 76 60 37 48 W 13 1 8291 W 26 185299 E 10/01-17 76 60 36 48 NW 12 1 7716 W 28 184595 E 10/01-18 48 15 35 48 NW 9 9 2 1 NW71 7142 W 30 183891 E 10/01-19 48 15 31 54 NW 8 1 6192 W 26 149333 V 10/01-20 48 15 29 60 W 6 1 5242 W 24 114774 V 10/01-21 48 15 27 64 W 5 5 2 1 NW71 4292 W 22 80215 G 10/01-22 48 15 26 69 W 3 1 3120 W 18 56271 F 10/01-23 48 15 25 74 W 3 1 1948 W 15 32327 P 10/02-00 48 15 23 80 W 3 3 2 1 NW61 775 W 13 8383 P 10/02-01 48 15 22 83 W 3 1 640 W 12 6452 P 10/02-02 48 15 21 86 W 5 1 504 W 9 4522 P 10/02-03 15 0 20 87 W 5 5 2 1 NW58 369 W 8 2591 P 10/02-04 15 0 20 88 W 5 1 352 W 7 2306 P 10/02-05 15 0 19 87 W 3 1 336 W 7 2021 P 10/02-06 15 0 19 88 W 3 3 2 1 NW58 320 W 6 1735 P 10/02-07 15 0 20 87 SW 3 1 911 W 8 8166 P 10/02-08 15 0 25 75 SW 3 1 1503 W 10 14597 P 10/02-09 15 0 31 61 SW 5 5 2 1 NW53 2095 W 12 21028 P 10/02-10 15 0 36 48 SW 6 1 2679 W 13 29920 P 10/02-11 15 0 38 43 W 7 1 3262 W 14 38811 P 10/02-12 15 0 41 38 W 8 8 3 1 NW45 3846 NW 14 47703 F 10/02-13 15 0 42 35 W 8 1 3926 W 14 47558 F 10/02-14 15 0 43 33 W 9 1 4005 W 14 47413 F 10/02-15 15 0 43 32 NW 9 9 3 1 NW43 4085 W 14 47268 F 10/02-16 15 0 43 32 NW 8 1 3288 W 10 34478 P 10/02-17 15 0 42 33 NW 6 1 2492 NW 8 21688 P 10/02-18 15 0 41 34 N 5 5 4 1 NW37 1695 NW 6 8898 P 10/02-19 15 0 37 41 N 3 1 1236 W 5 6097 P 10/02-20 15 0 34 46 NE 3 1 778 S 3 3296 P 10/02-21 15 0 33 50 E 2 2 4 1 W32 319 SE 2 495 P 10/02-22 15 0 31 53 E 2 1 279 SE 2 514 P 10/02-23 15 0 30 56 E 2 1 239 SE 2 532 P 10/03-00 15 0 28 61 E 2 2 4 1 W29 199 SE 3 550 P 10/03-01 15 0 27 63 E 2 1 189 S 3 522 P 10/03-02 15 0 26 65 SE 2 1 179 S 3 494 P 10/03-03 15 0 26 66 SE 2 2 5 1 W31 168 S 3 466 P 10/03-04 15 0 25 67 SE 2 1 166 S 3 489 P 10/03-05 15 0 25 68 SE 2 1 165 S 3 512 P 10/03-06 50 0 24 69 SE 2 2 3 1 W35 163 S 3 534 P 10/03-07 50 0 26 68 SE 2 1 469 S 5 2307 P 10/03-08 50 0 31 58 SE 3 1 776 S 6 4080 P 10/03-09 50 0 37 47 SE 3 3 3 1 W33 1082 S 6 5853 P 10/03-10 50 0 43 37 S 5 1 2423 SW 9 25928 P 10/03-11 50 0 46 33 S 6 1 3763 SW 12 46003 F 10/03-12 60 0 48 30 S 7 7 3 1 W30 5103 SW 15 66079 G 10/03-13 60 0 50 27 SW 8 1 6008 SW 16 85589 G 10/03-14 60 0 50 26 SW 9 1 6912 SW 17 105100 V 10/03-15 60 0 51 24 SW 10 10 3 1 SW29 7817 SW 18 124611 V 10/03-16 60 0 51 25 SW 8 1 6241 SW 16 93104 G 10/03-17 60 0 49 25 SW 7 1 4665 SW 14 61597 G 10/03-18 60 0 48 26 SW 5 5 3 1 SW31 3089 SW 12 30090 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...LANCE BROYLES REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091001.GOREP.02/BOU