FNUS75 KGJT 010628
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR VAIL GOLF COURSE...VAIL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1228 AM MDT THU OCT 1 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

** PLEASE NOTE: CLEARING INDEX (CI) IS ONLY FOR UTAH **

.DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT THAT PAST YESTERDAY
WILL BRING SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING AND PERIODS OF SNOW THIS
AFTERNOON. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL
CONTINUE. THE SHOWERS SHOULD END THIS EVENING. OVERNIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY, DRIER AND COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA WITH SLOWLY
DECREASING NORTHWEST WINDS ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE.

.TODAY (THURSDAY)...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100%). SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING
                    ...THEN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-36 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1200, THEN EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL UNTIL ABOUT 1200, THEN INCREASING
                    TO 7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....12-17 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 14 MPH UNTIL ABOUT 2200, THEN
                    SHIFTING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL SUNSET THEN BECOMING POOR BY 2200.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 MPH UNTIL 2200, THEN DOWNSLOPE/
                    DOWNVALLEY 7 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH UNTIL 1100, THEN
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (27000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1100, THEN FAIR.
                    IMPROVING TO GOOD ABOUT 1300.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL UNTIL 1100, THEN INCREASING TO 5300
                    FT AGL BY ABOUT 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 7 MPH UNTIL 1100, THEN
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST 25 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CHRIS CUOCO
REQUESTED BY...T TALBOT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091001.VAILG.01/GJT