FNUS75 KPUB 021139 AAA
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK MOUNTAIN P2...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
539 AM MDT FRI OCT 2 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL SPREAD OVER THE REGION TODAY
AND SATURDAY.  WESTERLY BREEZES OF UP TO 25 MPH WILL AFFECT THE RIDGE
LINE...BUT DUE TO THE SHELTERED LOCATION OF THE BURN (AND FEEDBACK
CONCERNING YESTERDAY'S WINDS) THESE HIGHER GUSTS SHOULD REMAIN ACROSS
THE HIGHER TERRAIN ABOVE THE SPOT LOCATION.  A WEAK EASTERLY SURGE WILL
MOVE THROUGH SOUTHEAST COLORADO DURING THE EVENING CAUSING WINDS TO
SHIFT OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AS THEY FUNNEL UP THE VALLEY.  THEN AS
TEMPERATURES COOL OVERNIGHT WINDS WILL SHIFT BACK OUT OF THE NORTHWEST
WITH A LIGHT DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY COMPONENT.

WARMER TEMPERATURES AND LIGHTER WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH UNTIL 1100 THEN WEST 8-14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. FAIR AFTER 1100. GOOD AFTER 1300.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34F.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST 6-12 MPH UNTIL 2000 THEN NORTHWEST
                    4-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(28 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1100 THEN SOUTH 8-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...TORGERSON
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091002.BLACK.01/PUB