FNUS75 KBOU 041132 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR TIMBER CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 532 AM MDT SUN OCT 4 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING CLOUDY SKIES...SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA TODAY. WINDS WILL ALSO BE A LITTLE STRONGER THAN YESTERDAY. GOOD MIXING AND STRONG TRANSPORT WINDS WILL RESULT IN VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSAL TODAY AND MONDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53. MIN HUMIDITY........35-42%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 7-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 24-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 5400-6400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33. MAX HUMIDITY........88-98%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 600-1600 FT AGL AFTER 2200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2200. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49. MIN HUMIDITY........37-43%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 9-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28-36 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 40-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 5600-6600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR TIMBER CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/04-05 76 17 30 65 SE 6 1 905 S 10 7732 P 10/04-06 76 43 30 68 S 5 5 2 1 SW38 1090 S 9 9166 P 10/04-07 76 43 29 76 S 6 1 883 S 10 7572 P 10/04-08 76 43 29 83 S 8 1 676 S 10 5978 P 10/04-09 76 43 29 87 S 9 14 2 1 SW48 470 S 10 4384 P 10/04-10 76 43 32 80 S 10 1 2321 S 15 44487 F 10/04-11 76 43 37 66 S 12 1 4172 S 20 84590 G 10/04-12 89 43 44 52 S 12 17 2 1 SW41 6023 SW 24 124692 V 10/04-13 89 43 48 45 S 13 1 6215 SW 25 140229 V 10/04-14 89 43 49 43 SW 13 1 6407 SW 28 155766 E 10/04-15 89 43 50 42 SW 13 20 2 1 SW45 6598 SW 30 171303 E 10/04-16 89 43 48 45 S 10 1 6068 SW 28 149506 V 10/04-17 89 43 48 45 S 8 1 5538 SW 26 127709 V 10/04-18 89 72 47 48 S 7 7 2 1 SW49 5008 SW 24 105912 V 10/04-19 89 72 44 55 S 7 1 4174 SW 23 85347 G 10/04-20 89 72 40 66 S 8 1 3341 S 22 64782 G 10/04-21 89 72 38 75 S 9 14 2 1 SW54 2508 S 21 44217 F 10/04-22 89 72 37 80 S 10 1 1834 S 20 32049 P 10/04-23 89 72 35 84 S 10 1 1159 S 18 19881 P 10/05-00 89 72 34 87 SW 12 17 2 1 SW58 485 SW 18 7712 P 10/05-01 89 72 33 87 SW 12 1 448 SW 18 7210 P 10/05-02 89 72 32 90 SW 12 1 411 SW 18 6708 P 10/05-03 89 72 32 89 SW 12 17 2 1 SW63 374 SW 20 6206 P 10/05-04 89 72 31 88 SW 12 1 498 SW 22 10130 P 10/05-05 89 72 31 86 SW 10 1 622 SW 25 14054 P 10/05-06 95 38 31 87 SW 10 10 2 1 SW64 746 SW 28 17980 P 10/05-07 95 38 30 84 SW 12 1 834 SW 26 19481 P 10/05-08 95 38 30 79 SW 12 1 923 SW 26 20982 P 10/05-09 95 38 30 75 SW 12 12 2 1 SW64 1011 SW 25 22483 P 10/05-10 95 38 33 66 SW 12 1 2471 SW 33 92008 G 10/05-11 95 38 37 56 SW 13 1 3930 SW 41 161533 E 10/05-12 91 31 44 42 SW 14 22 2 1 SW89 5390 SW 49 231059 E 10/05-13 91 31 45 41 SW 14 1 5750 SW 47 234727 E 10/05-14 91 31 45 40 SW 14 1 6110 SW 45 238394 E 10/05-15 91 31 46 40 SW 13 13 2 1 SW100 6470 SW 43 242062 E 10/05-16 91 31 45 39 SW 12 1 6512 SW 41 235148 E 10/05-17 91 31 44 40 W 9 1 6554 SW 40 228234 E 10/05-18 84 31 42 41 W 7 7 2 1 SW94 6597 SW 39 221320 E 10/05-19 84 31 39 47 W 8 1 6321 SW 37 200867 E 10/05-20 84 31 35 53 W 8 1 6046 W 35 180414 E 10/05-21 84 31 34 57 W 9 9 2 1 SW82 5770 W 32 159961 E 10/05-22 84 31 32 59 W 9 1 5724 W 33 167452 E 10/05-23 84 31 31 60 W 9 1 5678 W 36 174943 E 10/06-00 81 25 29 63 W 8 8 2 1 W78 5631 W 37 182434 E 10/06-01 81 25 28 65 W 8 1 5697 W 39 191693 E 10/06-02 81 25 27 66 W 8 1 5762 W 40 200951 E 10/06-03 81 25 26 68 W 8 8 2 1 W83 5828 W 41 210209 E 10/06-04 81 25 26 69 W 8 1 5483 W 39 187033 E 10/06-05 81 25 25 70 W 8 1 5137 W 37 163857 E 10/06-06 57 10 25 72 W 8 8 2 1 W73 4792 W 33 140681 V 10/06-07 57 10 26 70 W 8 1 4941 W 35 147016 V 10/06-08 57 10 29 66 W 9 1 5089 W 35 153351 E 10/06-09 57 10 33 57 W 9 9 2 1 W62 5238 W 35 159687 E 10/06-10 57 10 37 49 W 10 1 5557 W 37 177770 E 10/06-11 57 10 39 46 W 12 1 5875 W 38 195854 E 10/06-12 58 10 41 43 W 9 9 2 1 W56 6194 W 40 213938 E 10/06-13 58 10 41 42 W 9 1 6227 W 39 211030 E 10/06-14 58 10 42 41 W 9 1 6261 W 38 208121 E 10/06-15 58 10 43 40 W 9 9 2 1 W52 6294 W 38 205213 E 10/06-16 58 10 42 39 W 10 1 6007 W 36 188467 E 10/06-17 58 10 41 39 W 9 1 5720 W 35 171722 E 10/06-18 35 6 40 39 W 8 8 2 1 W46 5433 W 33 154977 E 10/06-19 35 6 36 42 W 7 1 4694 W 30 126807 V 10/06-20 35 6 34 45 W 6 1 3956 W 28 98637 G 10/06-21 35 6 32 45 W 5 5 3 1 W41 3217 W 25 70468 G 10/06-22 35 6 31 44 W 5 1 2708 W 23 55450 F 10/06-23 35 6 30 43 W 5 1 2198 W 20 40432 F 10/07-00 31 6 29 43 W 3 3 3 1 W44 1689 W 17 25415 P 10/07-01 31 6 28 44 W 3 1 1462 W 16 20974 P 10/07-02 31 6 27 45 SW 3 1 1235 W 15 16533 P 10/07-03 31 6 26 46 SW 3 3 3 1 W58 1008 W 14 12093 P 10/07-04 31 6 26 46 SW 3 1 832 W 13 9686 P 10/07-05 31 6 25 46 SW 3 1 655 W 13 7279 P 10/07-06 34 6 25 48 SW 3 3 3 1 W60 478 W 12 4873 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JEFF SINGER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091004.TIMBE.01/BOU