FNUS75 KBOU 051858 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GREEN MOUNTAIN UNIT 2...WEST METRO FIRE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1250 PM MDT MON OCT 5 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT STRADDLING COLORADO FROM THE FOUR CORNERS TO THE NEBRASKA PANHANDLE WILL SAG SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF COLORADO OVERNIGHT. SHOWERY PRECIPITATION FORMING ALONG THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND BENEATH A STRONG JET STREAM ALOFT WILL MIGRATE SOUTH AND EAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. MOST OF THIS PRECIPITATION SHOULD EITHER DISSIPATE OR MOVE OUT OF THE AREA BY LATE TONIGHT. ON TUESDAY DRIER AND MORE STABLE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL GRADUALLY MIX DOWNWARD TO THE GROUND ALONG THE FRONT RANGE DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS. WHILE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE MUCH LOWER TOMORROW...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN UNSEASONABLY COOL FOR THE DATE. BY WEDNESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST BRINGING WITH IT PLENTY OF SUNSHINE...MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITIES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-59. MIN HUMIDITY........47-54%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1400...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY UNTIL 2300...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2100...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-38. MAX HUMIDITY........64-70%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 6-10 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 1000-2000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 0900...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-58. MIN HUMIDITY........24-29%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1800...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0600. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1800. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GREEN MOUNTAIN UNIT 2. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/05-12 78 36 54 55 S 3 3 2 1 SW64 4304 SW 15 55742 F 10/05-13 78 36 55 54 S 3 1 4417 SW 13 47458 F 10/05-14 78 36 55 53 SW 2 1 4529 SW 10 39173 P 10/05-15 95 38 56 52 W 2 2 2 1 SW48 4641 SW 8 30888 P 10/05-16 95 38 55 50 W 5 1 4287 SW 8 29042 P 10/05-17 95 38 54 48 W 6 1 3933 W 8 27196 P 10/05-18 94 33 53 47 W 8 8 2 1 SW36 3579 W 8 25350 P 10/05-19 94 33 50 51 W 7 1 2621 W 10 19821 P 10/05-20 94 33 47 55 W 6 1 1664 W 13 14293 P 10/05-21 69 10 46 57 W 5 5 3 1 SW45 706 W 14 8765 P 10/05-22 69 10 44 58 W 5 1 732 W 12 7583 P 10/05-23 69 10 43 58 W 5 1 758 W 10 6401 P 10/06-00 54 1 42 59 W 6 6 2 1 W52 784 W 8 5219 P 10/06-01 54 1 41 59 W 6 1 1165 W 8 8019 P 10/06-02 54 1 40 60 W 5 1 1546 W 8 10818 P 10/06-03 45 0 39 59 W 5 5 2 1 W51 1926 SW 8 13618 P 10/06-04 45 0 39 59 W 5 1 1875 W 9 14607 P 10/06-05 45 0 39 57 W 3 1 1823 W 10 15597 P 10/06-06 37 2 38 56 W 3 3 2 1 W45 1772 W 10 16586 P 10/06-07 37 2 39 55 SW 2 1 2793 W 14 36504 P 10/06-08 37 2 42 52 SE 2 1 3814 W 16 56422 F 10/06-09 37 2 46 46 CALM 1 2 1 W47 4835 W 18 76340 G 10/06-10 37 2 49 42 E 2 1 5511 W 17 80607 G 10/06-11 37 2 51 40 NE 2 1 6186 W 16 84874 G 10/06-12 19 0 52 38 NE 3 3 2 1 W40 6862 W 15 89141 G 10/06-13 19 0 53 36 NE 3 1 6412 W 14 75754 G 10/06-14 19 0 53 33 NE 2 1 5962 W 12 62367 G 10/06-15 19 0 54 31 NE 2 2 2 1 W43 5513 W 10 48980 F 10/06-16 19 0 53 29 E 2 1 4980 W 9 41736 F 10/06-17 19 0 52 29 CALM 1 4447 W 9 34492 P 10/06-18 12 0 53 28 N 2 1 2 1 W40 3914 W 8 27248 P 10/06-19 12 0 48 32 N 3 1 2809 W 7 19133 P 10/06-20 12 0 45 35 NW 5 1 1703 W 7 11019 P 10/06-21 12 0 44 38 W 7 7 2 1 W37 598 W 6 2905 P 10/06-22 12 0 43 41 W 8 1 488 W 7 2607 P 10/06-23 12 0 42 43 W 9 1 377 W 8 2310 P 10/07-00 12 0 41 45 W 10 16 3 1 W36 267 W 9 2013 P 10/07-01 12 0 41 47 W 10 1 239 W 9 1817 P 10/07-02 12 0 40 47 W 10 1 210 W 9 1621 P 10/07-03 12 0 39 48 W 10 16 4 1 W47 182 W 9 1425 P 10/07-04 12 0 39 48 W 12 1 179 W 9 1520 P 10/07-05 12 0 39 48 W 12 1 177 W 10 1615 P 10/07-06 21 0 38 49 W 12 17 4 1 W55 174 W 12 1710 P 10/07-07 21 0 39 50 W 10 1 497 W 13 5770 P 10/07-08 21 0 45 42 W 8 1 819 W 13 9830 P 10/07-09 21 0 52 35 W 7 7 3 1 W51 1141 W 14 13890 P 10/07-10 21 0 58 30 SW 6 1 2591 W 18 51313 F 10/07-11 21 0 61 29 SW 5 1 4041 W 22 88736 G 10/07-12 21 0 63 28 SW 5 5 3 1 W54 5491 W 26 126159 V 10/07-13 21 0 64 27 W 7 1 5725 W 26 134199 V 10/07-14 21 0 65 26 W 9 1 5959 W 28 142238 V 10/07-15 21 0 66 26 W 10 16 2 1 W46 6193 W 28 150278 E 10/07-16 21 0 65 26 W 9 1 4745 W 24 108934 V 10/07-17 21 0 63 27 W 7 1 3298 W 21 67591 G 10/07-18 39 5 61 29 W 6 6 3 1 W36 1850 W 16 26248 P 10/07-19 39 5 56 34 W 6 1 1305 W 14 18113 P 10/07-20 39 5 52 39 W 7 1 759 W 12 9978 P 10/07-21 39 5 50 41 W 8 8 2 1 W48 213 W 10 1843 P 10/07-22 39 5 48 45 W 8 1 188 W 10 1681 P 10/07-23 39 5 47 46 W 9 1 163 W 10 1519 P 10/08-00 39 5 45 50 W 9 9 2 1 W47 138 W 12 1357 P 10/08-01 39 5 43 51 W 9 1 135 W 10 1276 P 10/08-02 39 5 42 53 W 9 1 131 W 10 1195 P 10/08-03 39 5 41 54 W 9 9 2 1 SW41 128 W 10 1113 P 10/08-04 39 5 40 55 W 9 1 124 W 10 1068 P 10/08-05 39 5 40 55 W 9 1 119 W 10 1022 P 10/08-06 50 10 39 57 W 9 9 2 1 SW43 115 W 9 977 P 10/08-07 50 10 41 54 SW 9 1 10/08-08 50 10 42 52 S 8 1 10/08-09 50 10 45 49 S 8 8 1 10/08-10 50 10 48 45 SE 8 1 10/08-11 50 10 51 41 E 7 1 10/08-12 50 10 54 39 E 7 7 1 10/08-13 50 10 55 38 E 7 1 10/08-14 50 10 56 39 E 7 1 10/08-15 50 10 56 40 NE 6 6 1 10/08-16 50 10 55 41 NE 6 1 10/08-17 50 10 55 43 N 5 1 10/08-18 43 10 53 46 N 5 5 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...BAKER WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ANTHONY PISCOPO REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091006.GREEN.01/BOU