FNUS75 KBOU 061504 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR RABBIT EEARS ADMIN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 902 AM MDT TUE OCT 6 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A FLAT RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS TO THE BURN SITE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN TODAY...BUT THEN STRENGTHEN AGAIN BY WEDNESDAY AS FLOW ALOFT INCREASES AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM. THIS WILL LEAD TO GUSTY WINDS BY WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO TURN WARMER WITH LOWER HUMIDITY READINGS. WITH THE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND CONSIDERABLE SUNSHINE...GOOD TO VERY GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION CAN BE EXPECTED. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-44. MIN HUMIDITY........36-38%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST/SOUTHWEST 8-15 MPH. A FEW GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-7200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....23. MAX HUMIDITY........82%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN NORTHEAST UP TO 4 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTH 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...DECREASING TO 200-600 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-56. MIN HUMIDITY........26-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 13-22 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 30-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING TO 8000-9000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RABBIT EEARS ADMIN. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/06-08 22 2 28 69 W 5 1 5232 W 22 99956 G 10/06-09 15 2 33 57 W 6 6 2 1 W45 5870 W 23 116574 V 10/06-10 15 2 38 47 W 8 1 6401 W 24 131962 V 10/06-11 15 2 40 43 W 10 1 6931 W 24 147350 V 10/06-12 2 0 41 42 W 14 21 2 1 W35 7462 W 25 162738 E 10/06-13 2 0 42 39 W 14 1 7404 W 23 150142 E 10/06-14 2 0 43 37 W 14 1 7347 W 22 137547 V 10/06-15 2 0 43 35 W 13 18 3 1 W29 7290 W 20 124951 V 10/06-16 2 0 43 35 W 12 1 6529 W 18 106608 V 10/06-17 2 0 42 38 W 10 1 5768 W 17 88266 G 10/06-18 16 0 40 40 W 8 8 4 1 W25 5008 W 16 69923 G 10/06-19 16 0 37 42 NW 6 1 3750 W 13 48515 F 10/06-20 16 0 35 48 NW 3 1 2493 W 9 27108 P 10/06-21 16 0 34 52 N 2 2 4 1 W21 1236 W 6 5700 P 10/06-22 16 0 32 57 N 2 1 932 W 5 4061 P 10/06-23 16 0 31 59 E 2 1 628 S 3 2422 P 10/07-00 16 0 29 64 SE 2 2 4 1 W31 324 S 2 784 P 10/07-01 16 0 28 68 SE 2 1 290 S 3 760 P 10/07-02 16 0 27 72 SE 3 1 255 S 3 736 P 10/07-03 16 0 26 75 SE 3 3 3 1 W45 221 S 3 712 P 10/07-04 16 0 25 78 SE 3 1 213 S 3 637 P 10/07-05 16 0 25 80 SE 2 1 204 S 3 561 P 10/07-06 26 0 24 82 SE 2 2 2 1 W51 196 S 2 486 P 10/07-07 26 0 26 79 SE 3 1 1019 S 7 12150 P 10/07-08 26 0 33 59 S 3 1 1843 SW 12 23814 P 10/07-09 26 0 42 48 S 5 5 2 1 W52 2666 SW 15 35478 P 10/07-10 26 0 47 36 S 8 1 4560 SW 23 115105 V 10/07-11 26 0 49 32 SW 10 1 6455 SW 30 194732 E 10/07-12 26 0 51 29 SW 14 22 2 1 W54 8349 W 38 274359 E 10/07-13 26 0 53 27 SW 16 1 8701 W 38 288708 E 10/07-14 26 0 54 27 SW 18 1 9052 W 38 303056 E 10/07-15 26 0 55 27 SW 21 33 2 1 W51 9404 W 39 317405 E 10/07-16 26 0 53 28 W 18 1 8467 W 37 273694 E 10/07-17 26 0 52 30 W 16 1 7529 W 35 229983 E 10/07-18 50 5 51 32 W 14 22 2 1 W60 6591 W 32 186272 E 10/07-19 50 5 46 37 W 12 1 4795 W 28 130055 V 10/07-20 50 5 43 40 W 9 1 2998 W 22 73839 G 10/07-21 50 5 40 45 W 7 7 2 1 W59 1201 W 17 17623 P 10/07-22 50 5 39 51 W 6 1 888 W 14 12284 P 10/07-23 50 5 37 55 W 5 1 575 W 10 6946 P 10/08-00 50 10 35 61 W 3 3 2 1 W62 262 W 7 1607 P 10/08-01 50 10 33 65 SW 3 1 248 W 6 1268 P 10/08-02 50 10 31 68 S 2 1 235 SW 5 928 P 10/08-03 50 10 30 70 S 2 2 2 1 W61 221 SW 3 589 P 10/08-04 50 10 29 73 S 2 1 217 SW 2 533 P 10/08-05 50 10 28 76 SE 2 1 212 S 2 476 P 10/08-06 71 15 28 79 SE 2 2 2 1 W56 207 S 2 420 P 10/08-07 71 15 30 75 S 2 1 601 S 3 2905 P 10/08-08 71 15 32 72 SW 3 1 994 W 5 5390 P 10/08-09 71 15 37 61 W 3 3 2 1 SW48 1388 W 7 7875 P 10/08-10 71 15 42 53 W 6 1 2741 W 12 36744 P 10/08-11 71 15 44 51 W 8 1 4094 W 15 65613 G 10/08-12 71 20 46 48 W 10 10 2 1 SW45 5447 W 20 94482 G 10/08-13 71 20 47 46 W 12 1 5447 W 20 94289 G 10/08-14 71 20 47 44 W 12 1 5447 W 20 94097 G 10/08-15 71 20 48 41 W 13 21 2 1 SW44 5447 W 20 93904 G 10/08-16 71 20 47 41 W 13 1 5110 W 20 87131 G 10/08-17 71 20 46 42 NW 13 1 4773 W 20 80359 G 10/08-18 71 20 44 44 NW 12 12 2 1 SW41 4437 W 20 73586 G 10/08-19 71 20 40 52 NW 10 1 3105 W 15 50128 F 10/08-20 71 20 36 61 NW 8 1 1773 NW 12 26671 P 10/08-21 71 20 34 65 NW 7 7 2 1 SW39 442 NW 8 3214 P 10/08-22 71 20 32 71 NW 5 1 384 NW 7 2407 P 10/08-23 71 20 31 75 NW 3 1 325 NW 5 1599 P 10/09-00 60 10 30 80 NW 2 2 2 1 W38 267 NW 3 792 P 10/09-01 60 10 28 84 CALM 1 254 NW 3 695 P 10/09-02 60 10 27 87 CALM 1 241 NW 2 598 P 10/09-03 60 10 26 89 CALM 1 2 1 W30 228 NW 2 501 P 10/09-04 60 10 26 91 NW 2 1 230 NW 3 611 P 10/09-05 60 10 25 92 NW 2 1 231 NW 3 721 P 10/09-06 64 12 25 93 NW 2 2 2 1 W38 233 NW 5 831 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ROBERT BRINGUEL REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091006.RABBI.01/BOU