FNUS75 KBOU 061059 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR TIMBER CREEK RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 445 AM MDT TUE OCT 6 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIRMASS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE WILL BE SOME CLOUDS AND A FEW FLURRIES EARLY IN THE MORNING. SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BECOME EXCELLENT THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO A STRONG WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....45. MIN HUMIDITY........37%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 6-10 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN WEST 12 TO 22 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-7000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 0800...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....16. MAX HUMIDITY........83%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 200-800 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....54. MIN HUMIDITY........28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15-23 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17-28 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 37-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 6800-7800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600... THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR TIMBER CREEK RX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/06-04 71 21 27 69 W 5 1 4822 W 30 124405 V 10/06-05 71 21 26 73 W 5 1 4720 W 30 121381 V 10/06-06 59 10 27 73 W 8 8 2 1 W53 4618 W 30 118357 V 10/06-07 59 10 27 71 W 8 1 5000 W 30 131903 V 10/06-08 59 10 31 62 W 9 1 5383 W 31 145449 V 10/06-09 38 10 35 53 W 10 10 2 1 W51 5766 W 32 158994 E 10/06-10 38 10 39 46 W 13 1 6227 W 31 167077 E 10/06-11 38 10 41 43 W 15 1 6688 W 30 175161 E 10/06-12 3 0 42 41 W 16 25 2 1 W40 7149 W 30 183244 E 10/06-13 3 0 43 39 W 16 1 7135 W 28 170361 E 10/06-14 3 0 44 38 W 16 1 7121 W 25 157477 E 10/06-15 3 0 44 37 W 15 24 3 1 W33 7108 W 23 144594 V 10/06-16 3 0 43 37 W 14 1 6345 W 23 125816 V 10/06-17 3 0 42 38 W 13 1 5581 W 22 107038 V 10/06-18 19 0 40 41 W 10 10 4 1 W25 4818 W 21 88260 G 10/06-19 19 0 35 47 W 8 1 3735 W 18 64282 G 10/06-20 19 0 31 54 W 6 1 2652 W 15 40304 F 10/06-21 19 0 29 56 W 5 5 4 1 W16 1568 W 12 16326 P 10/06-22 19 0 27 59 W 5 1 1169 W 10 11817 P 10/06-23 19 0 25 61 SW 5 1 770 SW 9 7308 P 10/07-00 19 0 23 65 SW 5 5 4 1 W28 371 SW 9 2798 P 10/07-01 19 0 22 68 SW 5 1 313 SW 8 2309 P 10/07-02 19 0 21 72 SW 5 1 254 SW 8 1820 P 10/07-03 19 0 20 75 SW 5 5 3 1 W47 195 SW 8 1331 P 10/07-04 19 0 19 78 SW 5 1 185 SW 8 1293 P 10/07-05 19 0 18 80 SW 6 1 174 SW 8 1255 P 10/07-06 34 0 18 83 SW 6 6 2 1 W59 164 SW 8 1217 P 10/07-07 34 0 19 82 SW 7 1 972 SW 14 18946 P 10/07-08 34 0 26 66 SW 7 1 1781 W 18 36675 P 10/07-09 34 0 35 50 SW 8 8 2 1 W59 2589 W 24 54404 F 10/07-10 34 0 42 40 SW 10 1 4163 W 31 130075 V 10/07-11 34 0 46 37 SW 14 1 5737 W 38 205746 E 10/07-12 34 0 49 30 W 16 25 2 1 W62 7311 W 44 281417 E 10/07-13 34 0 51 29 W 18 1 7515 W 44 288424 E 10/07-14 34 0 52 29 W 20 1 7718 W 44 295432 E 10/07-15 34 0 53 28 W 22 35 2 1 W61 7922 W 44 302440 E 10/07-16 34 0 52 29 W 21 1 7201 W 43 267078 E 10/07-17 34 0 50 31 W 18 1 6479 W 40 231717 E 10/07-18 57 10 49 33 W 17 28 3 1 W71 5758 W 39 196356 E 10/07-19 57 10 43 39 W 14 1 4711 W 35 150105 E 10/07-20 57 10 39 46 W 12 1 3664 W 30 103854 V 10/07-21 57 10 37 49 W 8 8 2 1 W68 2617 W 25 57603 F 10/07-22 57 10 35 53 W 8 1 1928 W 22 40686 F 10/07-23 57 10 34 55 W 8 1 1239 W 18 23768 P 10/08-00 57 10 32 60 W 8 8 2 1 W74 550 W 14 6850 P 10/08-01 57 10 30 62 W 7 1 467 W 13 5337 P 10/08-02 57 10 29 64 SW 7 1 383 W 10 3824 P 10/08-03 57 10 28 66 SW 6 6 2 1 W70 299 SW 9 2311 P 10/08-04 57 10 27 68 SW 6 1 286 SW 8 2090 P 10/08-05 57 10 27 70 SW 5 1 273 SW 8 1869 P 10/08-06 71 25 26 73 SW 5 5 2 1 W69 260 SW 7 1648 P 10/08-07 71 25 28 71 SW 5 1 1079 SW 9 11956 P 10/08-08 71 25 29 70 SW 5 1 1898 SW 12 22264 P 10/08-09 71 25 33 63 SW 5 5 2 1 W59 2717 W 14 32571 P 10/08-10 71 25 37 58 SW 7 1 3496 W 17 56757 F 10/08-11 71 25 38 57 W 8 1 4276 W 21 80942 G 10/08-12 71 30 40 55 W 10 10 2 1 W49 5056 W 24 105127 V 10/08-13 71 30 41 54 W 12 1 5206 W 24 109772 V 10/08-14 71 30 41 53 W 12 1 5356 W 24 114417 V 10/08-15 71 30 41 52 W 13 21 2 1 SW47 5507 W 25 119062 V 10/08-16 71 30 41 52 W 13 1 4966 W 23 102319 V 10/08-17 71 30 40 53 NW 13 1 4426 W 22 85575 G 10/08-18 71 30 38 55 NW 12 12 2 1 SW47 3885 W 21 68832 G 10/08-19 71 30 34 63 NW 10 1 2799 W 17 47686 F 10/08-20 71 30 31 70 NW 9 1 1713 W 14 26541 P 10/08-21 71 30 29 73 W 7 7 2 1 SW44 627 W 10 5395 P 10/08-22 71 30 27 77 W 6 1 520 W 8 4080 P 10/08-23 71 30 26 79 W 5 1 414 W 7 2765 P 10/09-00 55 16 25 83 W 3 3 2 1 W43 308 W 6 1450 P 10/09-01 55 16 24 88 W 3 1 285 W 6 1324 P 10/09-02 55 16 23 91 W 2 1 262 W 6 1198 P 10/09-03 55 16 22 94 W 2 2 2 1 W36 239 W 5 1072 P 10/09-04 55 16 21 97 W 3 1 242 W 6 1163 P 10/09-05 55 16 21 100 W 3 1 245 W 6 1254 P 10/09-06 62 13 20 100 W 3 3 2 1 W45 248 W 6 1344 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...JAMES CHAMP REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091006.TIMBE.01/BOU