FNUS76 KLOX 061659
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RANCHO...CNTY VTU
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
959 AM PDT TUE OCT 6 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0928 PDT ON OCTOBER 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD BUT DRY UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS
DESCENDING UPON SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. AT THE SAME TIME...HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE HAS BUILT INTO THE GREAT BASIN. THIS HAS
RESULTED IN WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW THIS MORNING AROUND AND OVER THE
FIRE AREA. THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL
WEAKEN TODAY AND MOVE OFF TO THE EAST. THE VERY WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW
WILL CONTINUE AT NIGHT AND IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WITH WEAK
ONSHORE FLOW EACH OF THE NEXT TWO AFTERNOONS. LOWER MINIMUM
HUMIDITIES CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH
MODERATE TO GOOD HUMIDITY RECOVERIES TONIGHT. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES
WILL SEE MINOR INCREASES THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......VARIABLE 2-4 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 3-6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL RISING TO 4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST 3-6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 2-4 MPH
                    BY MIDNIGHT.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO EAST BY MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO BELOW 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO EAST 3-6 MPH BY
                    MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST 2-4 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5-9 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 3-6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH TO
                    SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL RISING TO 5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3-6 MPH SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MORRIS
REQUESTED BY...KAREN NELSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20091006.RANCH.02/LOX