FNUS75 KMSO 061641
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR CROOKED RIVER STEWARD-312A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1041 AM MDT TUE OCT 6 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1045 PDT ON OCTOBER 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS WILL BE PRESENT NEAR THE BURN AREA THROUGH MIDDAY
WEDNESDAY. STABLE AIR AT LOW ELEVATIONS WILL LIKELY PREVENT MUCH
VENTILATION OF SMOKE DURING THIS TIME. BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...A
WEAK SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION...WITH
NORTHERLY FLOW INCREASING. A RUSH OF COLD AIR TO THE EAST OF THE
BURN WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY RAIN THAT MAY REACH THE BURN AREA VERY
LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 50.
RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    VARIABLE 3-6 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 6-8 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2000 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 28.
RH..................MAX 80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    4-6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 43.
RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    8-10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ZUMPFE
REQUESTED BY...JIM BROGAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091006.CROOK.01/MSO