FNUS75 KPUB 061717
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR ARKANSAS MTN...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1117 AM MDT TUE OCT 6 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT WITH FLOW TURNING SOUTHWESTERLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS NEAR 15 MPH.  LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO INFLUENCE
THE BURN SITE BY TOMORROW WITH WINDS INCREASING DURING THE AFTERNOON.
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR
25 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.  NEARBY OBSERVATIONS FROM PAST WIND
EVENTS INDICATE THAT LOCATIONS NEAR THE BURN SITE CAN BECOME GUSTY
WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW.  ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM LATE
MORNING TOMORROW THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49 TO 53F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-24 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS 15 TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 12 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    1700...THEN GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33F.
MAX HUMIDITY........46-52 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH...THEN
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH AFTER 0300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 1O TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 1000... THEN
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    20 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL...THEN 8000 FT AGL AFTER 1300.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 16 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR BEFORE 1000...THEN VERY GOOD
                    AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...MOZLEY
REQUESTED BY...JON BREWER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091007.ARKAN.01/PUB