FNUS75 KGJT 091350
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHAY MESA BROADCAST...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
750 AM MDT FRI OCT 9 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON OCTOBER 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY NORTHWEST FLOW THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT
TO THE SOUTHWEST BY EARLY TONIGHT. PLENTY OF SUNSHINE PROVIDING
GOOD SURFACE HEATING SHOULD STILL GENERATE GOOD SMOKE LOFT IN THE
AFTERNOON DESPITE FAIRLY STABLE CONDITIONS. GOOD DAYTIME MIXING
WILL ALSO GENERATE SOME GUSTS DURING THE AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON
HUMIDITY WILL BE A LITTLE LOWER THAN THE PAST FEW DAYS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%) UNTIL 1300...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-62 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH UNTIL 0930...THEN VARIABLE BECOMING UPSLOPE 2-5 MP
CLEARING INDEX......500 AROUND 1200...INCREASING TO 1000+ BY 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL AT 1200 INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING WEST NORTHWEST 10 MPH AT 1200...INCR

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-39 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........36-41%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH AFTER 2000.
CLEARING INDEX......DECREASING TO 150 BY 2200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH AFTER 2100.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 3-5 MPH UNTIL 0930...THEN VARIABLE BECOMING UPSLOPE 3-5 MPH BY 1100.
CLEARING INDEX......1000+ BY 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 18 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...PAUL PLEMONS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091009.SHAYM.01/GJT