FNUS76 KPDT 091404
FWSPDT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSE FLY...USFS UMF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
704 AM PDT FRI OCT 9 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 PDT ON OCTOBER 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE BURN AREA TODAY FROM
THE NORTH. IT WILL CAUSE INCREASING NORTHERLY TYPE WINDS...
ESPECIALLY ON THE RIDGE TOPS. IT WILL ALSO BRING IN COLDER AIR
WITH DRY CONDITIONS WHICH WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

***THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS***
***WINDS ARE 20 FOOT 10 MINUTE AVERAGES***
***CWR-CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH OR GREATER***
***FORECAST IS VALID FOR 12 HOURS AFTER ISSUANCE***

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO
                    15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH 12 TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
                    35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................0.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20.
MAX HUMIDITY........7 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH BECOMING DRAINAGE
                    WINDS LESS THAN 5 MPH BY 2100.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH BECOMING
                    NORTH 3 TO 8 MPH BY 2100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 14 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........DRAINAGE WINDS LESS THAN 5 MPH UNTIL 0900 THEN
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST UPSLOPE WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ALAN POLAN
REQUESTED BY...JOSH HEWITT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091009.HORSE.01/PDT