FNUS75 KGJT 112241
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHAY MESA BROADCAST...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
441 PM MDT SUN OCT 11 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE...EMBEDDED IN A SWIFT SOUTHWEST
FLOW...WILL PASS OVER THE AREA ON MONDAY. AS A RESULT EXPECT
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH SIMILAR TO SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES AS
COMPARED WITH SUNDAY'S. A FAST MOVING DISTURBANCE WILL PASS MONDAY
NIGHT AHEAD OF A WETTER AND STRONGER SYSTEM ON WEDNESDAY. MOISTURE
WILL INCREASE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...WITH THE CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING LATE TUESDAY.

.MONDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    20 MPH. STRONGER WINDS OVER EXPOSED RIDGES.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO 1050 BY THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING TO
                    7400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 MPH.

.MONDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). AN ISOLATED SHOWER POSSIBLE
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-42 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 4-8 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......LOWERING TO 300 BY 2100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 1500 FT AGL BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-66 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 20 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......300 UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING TO 1050 IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING TO 7200
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 27 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN KEATING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091012.SHAYM.01/GJT