FNUS76 KMFR 120247
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLY RIDGE WUI RX...USFS BLY RANGER DISTRICT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
747 PM PDT SUN OCT 11 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 PDT ON OCTOBER 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN MONDAY AS A PACIFIC
LOW APPROACHES THE REGION. MILD TEMPERATURES WITH DRY WEATHER
WILL CONTINUE MONDAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS WILL BRING SOME
INCREASING GUSTS TO THE AREA. THEN WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
TUESDAY AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES INLAND TUESDAY MORNING INTO THE
AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT WILL BRING STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS
DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED
TUESDAY IN UNSHELTERED AREAS. ALSO EXPECT WIDESPREAD RAINFALL
TO DEVELOP OVER THE AREA TUESDAY WITH AMOUNTS AROUND
0.15 TO 0.30 INCHES EXPECTED OVER THE BURN AREA DURING THE DAY.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-38 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 4 MPH VEERING TO SOUTHWEST IN THE LATE
                    LATE MORNING THEN INCREASING TO 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTEROON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                     4500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-41.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                      WITH GUSTS TO 10 TO 15 MPH...BACKING TO THE SOUTH
                      LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO
                      6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL IN THE EVEINNG
                    DECREASING TO 800-1200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO
                     18 TO 28 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-52.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-73 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS TO 16 TO 22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                      2000-3500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 22 TO 32 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 40 MPH.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...SHERRY JACOBS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091012.BLYRI.01/MFR