FNUS76 KMFR 120038
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR GRAVE CK  14-1B...BLM/GFI
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
538 PM PDT SUN OCT 11 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON OCTOBER 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN MONDAY MORNING WITH A
STRONG LOW APPROACHING THE AREA DURING THE DAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE IN THE DAY MONDAY...THEN BECOME SOUTH TO
SOUTHEASTERLY AND CONTINUE TO INCREASE DURING THE EVENING AS THIS
LOW  GRADUALLY APPROACHES THE COAST.

UNSHELTERED 20 FOOT WINDS AT THE TOP  OF THE BURN WILL REACH
15 TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING MONDAY...WITH
WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE LOWER  PORTIONS OF THE BURN.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING...WITH
STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. UNSHELTERED 20 FOOT
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 20 TO 30 MPH TUESDAY MORNING. LIGHT
PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN MONDAY NIGHT WITH RAINFALL INCREASING
TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
LESS THAN 0.10 INCHES MONDAY NIGHT AND AROUND 0.2 TO 0.35 INCHES
TUESDAY DURING THE DAY...WITH AN ADDITIONAL 0.10 TO 0.20 INCHES IN
SHOWERS TUESDAY NIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-52 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 2 TO 4 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                      SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON
                      INCREASING TO 4 TO 6 MPH DURING THE MID AND LATE
                       AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 10 MPH IN THE MID AND
                       LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH BECOMING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 12 TO
                    18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN
                    LIKELY LATE IN THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 10 TO 12 MPH
                      IN THE EARLY EVENING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                      LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST
                      6 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE
                      LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 16 TO 22 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                        SOUTHEAST 20 TO 35 MPH .
CWR.................10 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-78 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    16 TO 22 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH IN THE MORNING
                      INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 MPH.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...ROGER BECK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091012.GRAVE.01/MFR