FNUS76 KPQR 102058
FWSPQR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MOWICH BURN...GIFFORD PINCHOT NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
158 PM PDT SAT OCT 10 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON OCTOBER 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THERMAL TROUGH BEGINS TO MIGRATE NORTH FROM
CALIFORNIA WHILE UPPER LOW BEGINS TO DIG INTO THE WESTERN US
SETTING UP A DECENT N-S ORIENTED SURFACE GRADIENT. THIS GRADIENT
WILL CAUSE GUSTY NORTH TO EASTERLY WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA
THROUGH SUNDAY AND LOWER HUMIDITIES BEFORE A STRONG SYSTEM
OFFSHORE BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE AREA.

EXCELLENT SHOT FOR WETTING RAIN BEGINNING TUESDAY WITH ABOUT AN INCH
OF PRECIP EXPECTED AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. WINDS SHOULD ALSO BE
BLUSTERY AS THE POTENT SYSTEM MOVES ONSHORE WEDNESDAY. SHOWERS
WILL LINGER AS THE SYSTEM EXITS ON THURSDAY. A LITTLE UNCERTAINTY
AFTER THAT WHERE SOME MODELS SHOW A BRIEF WEAK RIDGE BUILDING ON
FRIDAY BEFORE ANOTHER SYSTEM ARRIVES OVER THE WEEKEND WHILE OTHERS
DO NOT SHOW THE RIDGE AND KEEP A STEADY STREAM OF SYSTEMS MOVING
ONSHORE.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR (%).............0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 14
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
VISIBILITY..........10SM.
CEILING.............UNLIMITED.

TIME (PDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........18     18     18     32     32     32
TEMP............33     33     37     41     45     46
RH..............73     69     56     45     37     35
20 FT WIND......E 7    E 8    E 8    E 9    E 10   E 11
   MAX GUST.....15     20     20     20     25     25
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
CEILING (KFT)...NONE...................................
VISIBILITY (MI).UNLIMITED..............................

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR (%).............0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH.
VISIBILITY..........10SM.
CEILING.............UNLIMITED.

TIME (PDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........37     37     37     43     43     43
TEMP............44     40     38     36     34     33
RH..............38     45     52     57     63     67
20 FT WIND......E 10   E 11   E 11   E 11   E 11   E 11
   MAX GUST.....25     25     25     25     30     30
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
CEILING (KFT)...NONE...................................
VISIBILITY (MI).UNLIMITED..............................

.COLUMBUS DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR (%).............0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 9-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH.
VISIBILITY..........NONE...................................
CEILING.............UNLIMITED..............................

TIME (PDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........39     39     39     48     48     48
TEMP............33     33     37     42     47     48
RH..............70     67     54     43     35     33
20 FT WIND......E 10   E 10   E 10   E 10   E 10   E 10
   MAX GUST.....25     25     25     25     25     25
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
CEILING (KFT).............AROUND 10.................
VISIBILITY (MI).UNLIMITED..............................

$$
FORECASTER...WOLFE
REQUESTED BY...STEVE ARASIM
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091012.MOWIC.01/PQR