FNUS76 KPQR 102114
FWSPQR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAWTOOTH BURN...GIFFORD PINCHOT NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
214 PM PDT SAT OCT 10 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1245 PDT ON OCTOBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THERMAL TROUGH BEGINS TO MIGRATE NORTH FROM
CALIFORNIA WHILE UPPER LOW BEGINS TO DIG INTO THE WESTERN US
SETTING UP A DECENT N-S ORIENTED SURFACE GRADIENT. THIS GRADIENT
WILL CAUSE GUSTY NORTH TO EASTERLY WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA
THROUGH SUNDAY AND LOWER HUMIDITIES BEFORE A STRONG SYSTEM
OFFSHORE BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE AREA.

EXCELLENT SHOT FOR WETTING RAIN BEGINNING TUESDAY WITH ABOUT AN INCH
OF PRECIP EXPECTED AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. WINDS SHOULD ALSO BE
BLUSTERY AS THE POTENT SYSTEM MOVES ONSHORE WEDNESDAY. SHOWERS
WILL LINGER AS THE SYSTEM EXITS ON THURSDAY. A LITTLE UNCERTAINTY
AFTER THAT WHERE SOME MODELS SHOW A BRIEF WEAK RIDGE BUILDING ON
FRIDAY BEFORE ANOTHER SYSTEM ARRIVES OVER THE WEEKEND WHILE OTHERS
DO NOT SHOW THE RIDGE AND KEEP A STEADY STREAM OF SYSTEMS MOVING
ONSHORE.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR (%).............0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
VISIBILITY..........

TIME (PDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........18     18     18     35     35     35
TEMP............27     27     30     34     38     38
RH..............78     74     61     49     41     39
20 FT WIND......SE 9   E 9    E 9    E 10   E 10   E 11
   MAX GUST.....20     25     25     25     25     25
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
VISIBILITY (MI).UNLIMITED..............................
CEILING (KFT)...NONE...................................

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR (%).............0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 25.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
VISIBILITY..........UNLIMITED..............................
CEILING.............NONE...................................

TIME (PDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........38     38     38     40     40     40
TEMP............37     33     30     29     27     26
RH..............42     51     58     65     71     76
20 FT WIND......E 10   E 9    E 9    E 8    E 8    E 7
   MAX GUST.....20     20     20     20     20     20
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
CEILING (KFT)...NONE...................................
VISIBILITY (MI).UNLIMITED..............................

.COLUMBUS DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR (%).............0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH DECREASING TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
VISIBILITY..........UNLIMITED..............................
CEILING.............NONE...................................

TIME (PDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........36     36     36     46     46     46
TEMP............25     26     30     35     40     41
RH..............79     76     61     47     38     36
20 FT WIND......E 8    E 8    E 9    E 9    E 8    E 8
   MAX GUST.....20     20     25     25     20     15
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
CEILING (KFT)...NONE...................................
VISIBILITY (MI).UNLIMITED..............................

PER PHONE CONVERSATION WANTED FORECAST FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

$$
FORECASTER...WOLFE
REQUESTED BY...STEVE ARASIM
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091012.SAWTO.01/PQR