FNUS75 KGJT 131541
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR RABBIT EARS ADMIN  PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
941 AM MDT TUE OCT 13 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON OCTOBER 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS OVERNIGHT BROUGHT LIGHT SHOWERS
OVERNIGHT WITH SNOW LEVEL AROUND 9,000 FEET. RADAR INDICATES A
LINE OF SHOWERS WILL MOVE NEAR THE BURN SITE THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS. THE SURFACE-BASED INVERSION TONIGHT WILL BE WEAK WITH
STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND ISOLATED SHOWERS CREATING PERIODS
OF MIXING. THE JET STREAM MOVES OVERHEAD ON WEDNESDAY. SHOWERS
WILL BE WIDESPREAD WITH WETTING RAINS LIKELY. SNOW SHOWERS
DIMINISH WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT LINGER INTO THURSDAY IN NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT. HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS DRY CONDITIONS AND A SLOW WARMING
TREND FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED MORNING
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE.
                    ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-46 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 20
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD BEFORE 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL BEFORE 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-38 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 2-5 MPH GUSTING TO 15 MPH AT TIMES
                    ESPECIALLY NEAR SHOWERS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR EXCEPT FAIR TO GOOD NEAR SHOWERS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 2000 FT AGL...EXCEPT UP TO 3000 NEAR
                    SHOWERS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS...TURNING TO
                    SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41 F...TEMPERATURES STEADY OR FALLING THROUGH
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10-15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 32 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...SAM DUERKSEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091013.RABBI.01/GJT