FNUS76 KPQR 132117
FWSPQR

SPOT FORECAST FOR GAULDY...USFS- SIUSLAW NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
217 PM PDT TUE OCT 13 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0911 PDT ON OCTOBER 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LARGE AND COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE
OREGON AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER
ACROSS THE BURN AREA THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY EVENING...WITH
ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM LIKELY TO BRING MORE RAIN FOR THURSDAY. THE
PRESENT STORM SYSTEM OFF THE COAST HAS SEVERAL WAVES OF ENERGY
EMBEDDED WITHIN IT...WHICH WILL CAUSE PERIODS OF STEADY RAIN
FOLLOWED BY LULLS IN THE RAIN AND POSSIBLY EVEN SOME BREAKS IN THE
CLOUDS. ONE SUCH DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY MOVING UP THE COAST FROM
SOUTHERN OREGON...AND SHOULD SPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAIN INTO THE BURN
AREA BY SUNSET. THE MOST POWERFUL PORTION OF THE STORM WILL MOVE
ALONG THE OREGON COAST LATER TONIGHT...AROUND MIDNIGHT...PACKING
VERY STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS AND A BURST OF HEAVY RAIN.
GRADUALLY CALMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH
A FEW SHOWERS LINGERING THROUGH THE DAY.


CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN (CWR) 0.25 INCHES OR GREATER.
FORECAST WINDS ARE 10 MINUTE AVERAGES 20 FT ABOVE VEGETATION.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.



.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1600...BUT A FEW SUN BREAKS AS WELL. CLOUDS
                    THICKENING AFTER 1600...WITH RAIN REDEVELOPING
                    THEREAFTER.
CWR (%).............40 PERCENT BY 1800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-58.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
RAINFALL AMT (IN)...AROUND 0.20 INCHES.


.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PERIODS OF RAIN. SOME BREAKS IN THE
                    CLOUDS IN BETWEEN PERIODS OF RAIN.
CWR (%).............80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
RAINFALL AMT (IN)...0.75 TO 1.00 INCH.


.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PERIODS OF RAIN AND DRIZZLE.
CWR (%).............70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-58.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 80 PERCENT.
RAINFALL AMT (IN)...AROUND 0.35 INCHES.


$$
FORECASTER...WEAGLE
REQUESTED BY...JAMES HOLROYD
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091013.GAULD.01/PQR