FNUS75 KBOU 140102 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR STAUNTON STATE PARK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 648 PM MDT TUE OCT 13 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH THE BURN AREA ON WEDNESDAY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE FLOW ALOFT WILL INCREASE AND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST BY THE AFTERNOON WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE DISTURBANCE. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL RAPIDLY IMPROVE DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH MIDDLE LEVEL COOLING AND INCREASING FLOW ALOFT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....32. MAX HUMIDITY........74%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 200-800 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....53. MIN HUMIDITY........39%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN WEST 12-22 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-24 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 25-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1600 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 4200-5200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....31. MAX HUMIDITY........89%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 14-24 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 200 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....54. MIN HUMIDITY........34%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 13-23 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 4000-5000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR STAUNTON STATE PARK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/13-18 62 0 56 34 SW 12 12 2 1 W51 6124 W 21 108652 V 10/13-19 62 0 51 42 SW 12 1 4318 SW 17 74720 G 10/13-20 62 0 46 49 SW 12 1 2511 SW 14 40788 F 10/13-21 62 0 44 53 SW 12 12 2 1 W48 705 SW 12 6856 P 10/13-22 62 0 42 58 SW 12 1 588 SW 12 5799 P 10/13-23 62 0 41 61 SW 12 1 472 SW 12 4742 P 10/14-00 47 0 39 65 SW 10 10 2 1 W46 356 SW 12 3685 P 10/14-01 47 0 38 67 SW 10 1 329 SW 12 3344 P 10/14-02 47 0 37 69 SW 9 1 302 SW 12 3003 P 10/14-03 47 0 36 71 SW 8 8 2 1 W49 275 SW 12 2662 P 10/14-04 47 0 35 72 SW 7 1 271 SW 12 2618 P 10/14-05 47 0 34 73 SW 7 1 267 SW 12 2573 P 10/14-06 47 0 34 74 SW 7 7 2 1 W53 264 SW 12 2528 P 10/14-07 47 0 35 70 SW 8 1 422 SW 13 5303 P 10/14-08 57 20 38 63 W 10 1 580 W 15 8078 P 10/14-09 57 20 43 52 W 13 13 2 1 W54 739 W 17 10853 P 10/14-10 57 20 47 44 W 15 1 2004 W 21 44998 F 10/14-11 57 20 49 41 W 17 1 3268 W 25 79143 G 10/14-12 77 20 51 39 W 18 30 2 1 W55 4533 W 29 113287 V 10/14-13 77 20 52 39 W 20 1 4825 W 29 121063 V 10/14-14 77 20 52 40 W 20 1 5118 W 29 128839 V 10/14-15 77 20 53 39 W 18 30 2 1 W54 5410 W 29 136614 V 10/14-16 77 20 52 41 W 18 1 5010 W 28 121812 V 10/14-17 77 20 51 42 W 17 1 4610 W 26 107010 V 10/14-18 61 0 49 53 W 16 25 2 1 W53 4210 W 25 92208 G 10/14-19 61 0 45 63 W 16 1 1909 W 26 49267 F 10/14-20 61 0 42 73 W 16 1 1078 W 23 26666 P 10/14-21 61 0 40 79 W 17 28 2 1 W47 248 W 18 4065 P 10/14-22 61 0 38 84 W 17 1 232 W 20 3831 P 10/14-23 61 0 37 87 W 17 1 216 W 20 3597 P 10/15-00 36 0 36 83 W 18 30 2 1 W48 200 W 20 3363 P 10/15-01 36 0 35 83 W 18 1 202 W 20 3456 P 10/15-02 36 0 34 84 W 20 1 203 W 21 3550 P 10/15-03 36 0 34 84 W 20 31 2 1 W48 204 W 21 3643 P 10/15-04 36 0 33 87 W 20 1 230 W 21 4047 P 10/15-05 36 0 32 89 W 21 1 256 W 20 4451 P 10/15-06 30 0 32 84 W 20 31 2 1 W48 282 W 20 4855 P 10/15-07 30 0 33 78 W 20 1 688 W 21 13250 P 10/15-08 30 0 37 65 W 20 1 1094 W 22 21644 P 10/15-09 30 0 43 51 NW 20 31 2 1 W49 1501 W 23 30039 P 10/15-10 30 0 47 41 NW 18 1 2513 W 23 51960 F 10/15-11 30 0 50 37 NW 18 1 3526 W 24 73882 G 10/15-12 25 0 52 34 NW 16 25 2 1 NW49 4539 W 24 95803 G 10/15-13 25 0 53 34 NW 15 1 4683 W 24 96445 G 10/15-14 25 0 53 34 NW 15 1 4828 NW 23 97087 G 10/15-15 25 0 54 34 NW 15 24 3 1 NW49 4972 NW 23 97729 G 10/15-16 25 0 53 35 NW 14 1 4576 NW 22 87123 G 10/15-17 25 0 52 36 NW 12 1 4180 NW 21 76517 G 10/15-18 49 0 49 39 NW 10 10 3 1 NW51 3784 NW 20 65911 G 10/15-19 49 0 44 47 NW 8 1 2838 NW 18 48389 F 10/15-20 49 0 41 53 NW 7 1 1892 NW 17 30867 P 10/15-21 49 0 39 57 NW 8 8 3 1 NW52 945 NW 16 13346 P 10/15-22 49 0 37 59 NW 8 1 739 NW 15 10118 P 10/15-23 49 0 36 59 W 8 1 533 W 14 6890 P 10/16-00 49 0 34 60 W 9 9 2 1 NW53 327 W 13 3663 P 10/16-01 49 0 33 61 W 9 1 292 W 13 3184 P 10/16-02 49 0 32 63 W 9 1 257 W 12 2705 P 10/16-03 49 0 32 65 W 9 9 2 1 NW54 221 W 12 2226 P 10/16-04 49 0 31 68 W 9 1 236 W 12 2416 P 10/16-05 49 0 30 71 W 9 1 251 NW 12 2606 P 10/16-06 39 0 30 80 W 9 9 2 1 NW53 266 NW 13 2797 P 10/16-07 39 0 31 76 NW 9 1 379 NW 13 3976 P 10/16-08 39 0 33 68 NW 9 1 492 NW 12 5156 P 10/16-09 39 0 38 57 NW 8 8 2 1 NW53 606 NW 12 6336 P 10/16-10 39 0 42 49 NW 8 1 1939 NW 14 25293 P 10/16-11 39 0 44 46 NW 8 1 3273 NW 15 44249 F 10/16-12 39 0 45 43 N 9 9 2 1 NW52 4606 NW 16 63205 G 10/16-13 39 0 46 42 N 9 1 5005 NW 16 70495 G 10/16-14 39 0 46 41 N 9 1 5404 NW 16 77784 G 10/16-15 39 0 47 40 N 9 9 2 1 NW52 5803 NW 17 85074 G 10/16-16 39 0 46 41 N 8 1 4894 NW 15 67340 G 10/16-17 39 0 46 41 NE 8 1 3985 N 14 49607 F 10/16-18 29 0 44 43 NE 7 7 2 1 NW52 3076 N 12 31874 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...KEVIN MICHALAK REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091014.STAUN.01/BOU