FNUS74 KMAF 141352
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR PECOS RIVER...ALAMOGORDO DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
852 AM CDT WED OCT 14 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UNSEASONALLY WARM TEMPERATURES RETURN TODAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. WEST
WINDS WILL INCREASED THIS AFTERNOON AND HELP TO BRING DRIER AIR INTO THE
BURN SITE. MINIMUM RH/S NEAR 20 PCT ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH THE WEST
DOWNSLOPE WINDS. OVERNIGHT WINDS WILL GENERALLY HOLD FROM THE WEST TO
NORTHWEST THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST WITH THE FRONT DURING MID MORNING
THURSDAY. COOLER BEHIND THE FRONT WITH MINIMUM RH/S TRENDING UP ABOUT 5 PCT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92-95.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-19 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. INCREASING 15 TO 20 MPH NEAR 1 PM.
HAINES INDEX........3 /VERY LOW/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO VERY GOOD/100000 KNOT-FT/ IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (MDT)      10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR       MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE
TEMP............71           92
RH..............49           20
20 FT WIND DIR..SW           SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5            18
20 FT WIND GUST.10           25
MIX HGT (FT)....1500         5000
TRANSP WIND DIR.W            W
TRANSP WIND SPD.10           20
HAINES INDEX....2            3

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 /VERY LOW/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............92           75           66
RH..............17           33           43
20 FT WIND DIR..W            NW           NW
20 FT WIND SPD..17           10           10
20 FT WIND GUST.23
MIX HGT (FT)....4500         < 100        < 100
TRANSP WIND DIR.W            W            W
TRANSP WIND SPD.20           8            7
HAINES INDEX....3            3            3

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-24 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 /VERY LOW/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO GOOD /62000 KNOT-FT/ IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............61           67           84
RH..............65           41           23
20 FT WIND DIR..NW            N            NE
20 FT WIND SPD..7            10           10
20 FT WIND GUST.             13           12
MIX HGT (FT)....< 100        1500         6000
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW           N            NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.5            13           10
HAINES INDEX....2            2            2

$$

FORECASTER...MURDOCH
REQUESTED BY...JENNIFER WARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091014.PECOS.01/MAF