FNUS76 KPQR 142249
FWSPQR

SPOT FORECAST FOR TUMBLEBUG...USFS WNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
349 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1507 PDT ON OCTOBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LARGE AND COMPLEX PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM DOMINATES
THE EASTERN PACIFIC FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA TO THE NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA COAST. THIS SYSTEM IS PINWHEELING INDIVIDUAL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEMS ONSHORE INTO WASHINGTON AND BRITISH COLUMBIA...
SPREADING OCCASIONAL RAINS INTO OREGON. ONE OF THESE DISTURBANCES
IS CURRENTLY MOVING INTO VANCOUVER ISLAND...AND IS RESPONSIBLE FOR
THE SHOWERY WEATHER TODAY. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH OF THE
TUMBLEBUG COMPLEX AREA LATER TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...PROBABLY
BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN TO THE AREA. WARMER AND DRIER AIR
SHOULD MOVE IN BEHIND THIS FRONT THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH SOME
SUN BREAKS POSSIBLE LATE IN THE DAY. WEATHER SHOULD REMAIN MAINLY
DRY THROUGH MUCH OF FRIDAY...THEN ANOTHER DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED
TO BRING MORE RAIN TO THE AREA ON SATURDAY.

SNOW LEVELS...WITH A TROPICAL AIR MASS NOW IN PLACE...SNOW LEVELS
WILL REMAIN QUITE HIGH INTO THE WEEKEND. SNOW LEVELS AROUND THE
TUMBLEBUG COMPLEX WILL BE NEAR 7000 FEET TONIGHT AND THURSDAY
MORNING...RISING TO AROUND 10000 FEET LATER THURSDAY AND REMAINING
THERE THROUGH SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN
SOMETIME SATURDAY...POSSIBLY DROPPING SNOW LEVELS TO AS LOW AS 5000
FEET SUNDAY. WITH A STRONG MOIST AND ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK...NO MAJOR COLD SNAPS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST
TUESDAY.

CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN (CWR) 0.25 INCHES OR GREATER.
FORECAST WINDS ARE 10 MINUTE AVERAGES 20 FT ABOVE VEGETATION.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY IN THE MORNING. A
                    DECREASING CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON...
                    WITH SOME SUN BREAKS POSSIBLE.
CWR (%).............25 PERCENT...MAINLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   VALLEYS/LWR SLOPES...SOUTHEAST 2-5 MPH. A FEW GUSTS TO 10 MPH.
   RIDGES/UPR SLOPES....SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH. GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
VISIBILITY..........POOR ON THE RIDGETOPS...WITH VISIBILITY AS
                    LOW AS 1/2 MILE OR LESS IN THE MORNING.
                    VISIBILITY IMPROVING TO BETTER THAN 5 MILES
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (PDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
TEMP............44     45     46     52     56     57
RH..............97     97     92     75     60     58
20 FT WIND......E 3-6  SE 3-6 SE 3-6 SE 3-6 SE 3-6 S 3-6
   MAX GUST.....12     12     12     12     12     12
VISIBILITY (MI).1/2    1/2    1      4      6+     6+


.SNOW LEVELS...SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED

$$
FORECASTER...WEAGLE
REQUESTED BY...PAT HUTCHINS
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20091014.TUMBL.01/PQR